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In 2024 the final polling averages missed the result by 4.39 points on average across 118 races, and leaned 3.23 points toward the Democrats.

Each pollster's latest poll in the final 21 days. Click a state for its races.How to read this map
Alabama: no race this yearAlaska: no race this yearArizona: no race this yearColorado: no race this yearFlorida: no race this yearGeorgia: no race this yearIndiana: polls R+11.4 ±9.7 · 1 pollster; result R+13.3 · Mike Braun (R) wonKansas: no race this yearMaine: no race this yearMassachusetts: no race this yearMinnesota: no race this yearNew Jersey: no race this yearNorth Carolina: polls D+14.0 ±1.7 · 14 pollsters; result D+14.8 · Joshua Harold Stein (D) wonNorth Dakota: not polled; result R+42.3 · Kelly Armstrong (R) wonOklahoma: no race this yearPennsylvania: no race this yearSouth Dakota: no race this yearTexas: no race this yearWyoming: no race this yearConnecticut: no race this yearMissouri: polls R+16.0 ±4.9 · 3 pollsters; result R+20.4 · Mike Kehoe (R) wonWest Virginia: not polled; result R+30.4 · Patrick Morrisey (R) wonIllinois: no race this yearNew Mexico: no race this yearArkansas: no race this yearCalifornia: no race this yearDelaware: not polled; result D+12.1 · Matthew Meyer (D) wonDistrict of Columbia: no race this yearHawaii: no race this yearIowa: no race this yearKentucky: no race this yearMaryland: no race this yearMichigan: no race this yearMississippi: no race this yearMontana: polls R+25.5 ±6.3 · 1 pollster; result R+20.2 · Greg Gianforte (R) wonNew Hampshire: polls R+1.1 ±2.6 · 6 pollsters; result R+9.3 · Kelly Ayotte (R) wonNew York: no race this yearOhio: no race this yearOregon: no race this yearTennessee: no race this yearUtah: polls R+28.7 ±4.1 · 2 pollsters; result R+24.4 · Spencer J. Cox (R) wonVirginia: no race this yearWashington: polls D+10.8 ±5.1 · 3 pollsters; result D+11.2 · Bob Ferguson (D) wonWisconsin: no race this yearNebraska: no race this yearSouth Carolina: no race this yearIdaho: no race this yearNevada: no race this yearVermont: polls R+41.9 ±5.0 · 1 pollster; result R+51.6 · Phil Scott (R) wonLouisiana: no race this yearRhode Island: no race this year
  • D ahead by 10+
  • D ahead, under 10
  • Within the margin of error
  • R ahead, under 10
  • R ahead by 10+
  • Independent or other contest
  • On the ballot, no poll in the window
  • No race this year

Sources: Polls: ABC News / 538 poll pages, archived 2025-03-06; Results: ABC News / 538 election-results files (fivethirtyeight/election-results).