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In 2024 the final polling averages missed the result by 4.39 points on average across 118 races, and leaned 3.23 points toward the Democrats.

Colour shows how each race came out (538's results files). Compare with the final polls.

CA-01: not polled; result R+30.7 · Doug LaMalfa (R) wonSC-01: not polled; result R+16.6 · Nancy Mace (R) wonKY-01: not polled; result R+49.4 · James R. Comer (R) wonSC-07: not polled; result R+29.9 · Russell Fry (R) wonTX-17: not polled; result R+32.7 · Peter Sessions (R) wonCA-04: not polled; result D+32.9 · Mike Thompson (D) wonCA-03: not polled; result R+10.9 · Kevin Kiley (R) wonDE at-large: not polled; result D+15.7 · Sarah McBride (D) wonID-02: not polled; result R+30.4 · Mike Simpson (R) wonCA-13: not polled; result D+0.1 · Adam Gray (D) wonCA-45: polls D+3.0 ±9.4 · 1 pollster; result D+0.2 · Derek Tran (D) wonMO-04: not polled; result R+44.7 · Mark Alford (R) wonNH-02: polls D+16.5 ±4.2 · 3 pollsters; result D+6.0 · Maggie Goodlander (D) wonVA-01: not polled; result R+12.8 · Robert J. Wittman (R) wonWA-02: not polled; result D+28.0 · Rick Larsen (D) wonOK-01: not polled; result R+25.9 · Kevin Hern (R) wonAZ-09: not polled; result R+30.6 · Paul Gosar (R) wonCA-08: not polled; result D+47.9 · John Garamendi (D) wonGA-10: not polled; result R+26.1 · Mike Collins (R) wonIL-16: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Darin LaHood (R) wonNY-24: not polled; result R+31.3 · Claudia Tenney (R) wonTX-01: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Nathaniel Moran (R) wonAL-01: not polled; result R+56.9 · Barry Moore (R) wonMN-01: not polled; result R+17.1 · Brad Finstad (R) wonMO-06: not polled; result R+43.8 · Sam Graves (R) wonSC-04: not polled; result R+22.5 · William Timmons (R) wonWI-08: not polled; result R+14.7 · Tony Wied (R) wonCA-24: not polled; result D+25.4 · Salud Carbajal (D) wonID-01: not polled; result R+45.5 · Russ Fulcher (R) wonCA-18: not polled; result D+29.3 · Zoe Lofgren (D) wonTN-01: not polled; result R+58.7 · Diana Harshbarger (R) wonTX-32: not polled; result D+23.5 · Julie Johnson (D) wonAZ-06: not polled; result R+2.5 · Juan Ciscomani (R) wonAL-06: not polled; result R+40.8 · Gary Palmer (R) wonOH-06: not polled; result R+33.5 · Michael A. Rulli (R) wonIL-03: not polled; result D+34.6 · Delia Ramirez (D) wonCA-11: not polled; result D+62.1 · Nancy Pelosi (D) wonCA-42: not polled; result D+36.3 · Robert Garcia (D) wonCO-04: not polled; result R+11.6 · Lauren Boebert (R) wonGA-03: not polled; result R+32.6 · Brian Jack (R) wonIL-12: not polled; result R+48.4 · Mike Bost (R) wonKS-02: not polled; result R+18.9 · Derek Schmidt (R) wonKY-05: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Hal Rogers (R) wonMD-06: not polled; result D+6.3 · April McClain Delaney (D) wonMI-05: not polled; result R+32.9 · Tim Walberg (R) wonMN-08: not polled; result R+16.1 · Pete Stauber (R) wonMS-04: not polled; result R+47.9 · Mike Ezell (R) wonNV-02: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Mark E. Amodei (R) wonNH-01: polls D+14.7 ±4.5 · 3 pollsters; result D+8.1 · Chris Pappas (D) wonNM-02: polls D+5.0 ±9.3 · 1 pollster; result D+4.2 · Gabriel Vasquez (D) wonNC-03: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Greg Murphy (R) wonNC-05: not polled; result R+18.9 · Virginia Foxx (R) wonNC-14: not polled; result R+16.1 · Tim Moore (R) wonOR-01: not polled; result D+40.5 · Suzanne Bonamici (D) wonSD at-large: polls R+37.5 ±4.8 · 2 pollsters; result R+44.1 · Dusty Johnson (R) wonTN-09: not polled; result D+45.6 · Steve Cohen (D) wonVT at-large: polls D+37.1 ±4.7 · 1 pollster; result D+32.5 · Becca Balint (D) wonWI-07: not polled; result R+27.2 · Tom Tiffany (R) wonMI-07: polls R+5.2 ±8.1 · 1 pollster; result R+3.7 · Tom Barrett (R) wonMO-03: not polled; result R+26.0 · Bob Onder (R) wonTX-06: not polled; result R+31.4 · Jake Ellzey (R) wonTX-22: not polled; result R+24.2 · Troy E. Nehls (R) wonTX-25: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Roger Williams (R) wonTX-24: not polled; result R+20.6 · Beth Van Duyne (R) wonOR-02: not polled; result R+31.1 · Cliff Bentz (R) wonPA-09: not polled; result R+41.0 · Dan Meuser (R) wonPA-08: polls D+7.0 ±9.4 · 1 pollster; result R+1.6 · Rob Bresnahan Jr. (R) wonVA-09: not polled; result R+45.2 · H. Morgan Griffith (R) wonVA-02: polls R+0.5 ±5.9 · 2 pollsters; result R+3.8 · Jen A. Kiggans (R) wonWV-01: not polled; result R+40.2 · Carol Miller (R) wonWV-02: not polled; result R+41.5 · Riley Moore (R) wonMN-07: not polled; result R+41.0 · Michelle Fischbach (R) wonTX-23: not polled; result R+24.6 · Tony Gonzales (R) wonTX-27: not polled; result R+32.1 · Michael Cloud (R) wonTX-35: not polled; result D+34.7 · Greg Casar (D) wonTX-05: not polled; result R+28.2 · Lance Gooden (R) wonTX-36: not polled; result R+38.7 · Brian Babin (R) wonTX-38: not polled; result R+25.5 · Wesley P. Hunt (R) wonTX-18: not polled; result D+38.9 · Sylvester Turner (D) wonOK-03: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Frank D. Lucas (R) wonOK-04: not polled; result R+37.0 · Tom Cole (R) wonOK-02: not polled; result R+52.7 · Josh Brecheen (R) wonAZ-02: not polled; result R+9.0 · Eli Crane (R) wonAZ-07: not polled; result D+26.9 · Raúl Grijalva (D) wonIL-01: not polled; result D+31.7 · Jonathan L. Jackson (D) wonIL-05: not polled; result D+37.9 · Mike Quigley (D) wonCA-25: not polled; result D+12.5 · Raul Ruiz (D) wonCA-28: not polled; result D+29.9 · Judy Chu (D) wonCO-07: not polled; result D+14.2 · Brittany Pettersen (D) wonCT-02: not polled; result D+16.0 · Joe Courtney (D) wonFL-02: not polled; result R+23.3 · Neal Dunn (R) wonHI-02: not polled; result D+36.3 · Jill N. Tokuda (D) wonIN-09: not polled; result R+31.7 · Erin Houchin (R) wonIN-07: not polled; result D+39.4 · André Carson (D) wonKY-04: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Thomas Massie (R) wonME-02: polls D+3.0 ±4.8 · 3 pollsters; result D+0.9 · Jared Forrest Golden (D) wonMD-05: not polled; result D+35.7 · Steny Hoyer (D) wonMS-02: not polled; result D+24.0 · Bennie G. Thompson (D) wonMO-08: not polled; result R+54.4 · Jason Smith (R) wonMT-02: not polled; result R+32.0 · Troy Downing (R) wonNJ-07: not polled; result R+5.4 · Thomas H. Kean Jr. (R) wonTN-03: not polled; result R+38.1 · Chuck Fleischmann (R) wonTN-05: not polled; result R+17.4 · Andy Ogles (R) wonTN-06: not polled; result R+36.0 · John Rose (R) wonTN-07: not polled; result R+21.4 · Mark E. Green (R) wonSC-05: not polled; result R+27.2 · Ralph W. Norman (R) wonSC-02: not polled; result R+19.3 · Joe Wilson (R) wonWA-03: not polled; result D+3.9 · Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) wonWA-08: not polled; result D+8.2 · Kim Schrier (D) wonWA-05: not polled; result R+21.3 · Michael Baumgartner (R) wonWA-06: not polled; result D+13.6 · Emily Randall (D) wonLA-01: no recent pollLA-03: no recent pollLA-04: no recent pollLA-06: no recent pollIL-02: not polled; result D+35.1 · Robin Kelly (D) wonND at-large: not polled; result R+38.9 · Julie Fedorchak (R) wonTX-14: not polled; result R+37.4 · Randy Weber (R) wonCA-23: not polled; result R+20.3 · Jay Obernolte (R) wonGA-02: polls D+10.3 ±9.3 · 1 pollster; result D+12.7 · Sanford Bishop (D) wonIN-08: not polled; result R+38.5 · Mark Messmer (R) wonMD-01: not polled; result R+22.0 · Andy Harris (R) wonMS-03: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Michael Guest (R) wonTX-15: not polled; result R+14.2 · Monica De La Cruz (R) wonWA-04: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Dan Newhouse (R) wonCO-03: not polled; result R+5.0 · Jeff Hurd (R) wonIA-04: not polled; result R+34.3 · Randy Feenstra (R) wonGA-01: not polled; result R+24.0 · Earl L. "Buddy" Carter (R) wonGA-12: not polled; result R+20.6 · Richard W. Allen (R) wonGA-08: not polled; result R+37.8 · Austin Scott (R) wonNY-23: not polled; result R+31.6 · Nicholas A. Langworthy (R) wonNY-01: polls D+2.0 ±8.2 · 1 pollster; result R+10.4 · Nicholas J. LaLota (R) wonNC-01: not polled; result D+1.7 · Don Davis (D) wonNC-08: not polled; result R+19.2 · Mark Harris (R) wonWI-03: not polled; result R+2.7 · Derrick Van Orden (R) wonWI-06: not polled; result R+22.6 · Glenn Grothman (R) wonMA-08: not polled; result D+41.1 · Stephen F. Lynch (D) wonOH-13: polls R+1.0 ±7.0 · 1 pollster; result D+2.2 · Emilia Sykes (D) wonOH-02: not polled; result R+47.1 · David J. Taylor (R) wonUT-03: not polled; result R+32.8 · Mike Kennedy (R) wonFL-03: not polled; result R+23.2 · Kat Cammack (R) wonIL-17: polls D+5.7 ±7.1 · 1 pollster; result D+8.9 · Eric Sorensen (D) wonIA-02: not polled; result R+15.6 · Ashley Hinson (R) wonPA-15: not polled; result R+42.9 · Glenn "G.T." Thompson (R) wonVA-10: not polled; result D+4.5 · Suhas Subramanyam (D) wonIA-01: not polled; result R+0.2 · Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) wonMI-01: not polled; result R+21.2 · Jack Bergman (R) wonNC-11: not polled; result R+13.5 · Chuck Edwards (R) wonSC-03: not polled; result R+46.4 · Sheri Biggs (R) wonWY at-large: not polled; result R+47.4 · Harriet Hageman (R) wonOR-05: not polled; result D+2.7 · Janelle S. Bynum (D) wonTX-26: not polled; result R+26.4 · Brandon Gill (R) wonKS-01: not polled; result R+38.3 · Tracey Mann (R) wonMA-04: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Jake Auchincloss (D) wonNJ-02: not polled; result R+16.9 · Jeff Van Drew (R) wonOR-04: not polled; result D+7.8 · Val Hoyle (D) wonTX-28: not polled; result D+5.6 · Henry Cuellar (D) wonNC-09: not polled; result R+18.6 · Richard Hudson (R) wonTX-10: not polled; result R+29.6 · Michael T. McCaul (R) wonFL-04: polls R+7.0 ±10.0 · 1 pollster; result R+14.5 · Aaron Bean (R) wonPA-16: not polled; result R+27.3 · Mike Kelly (R) wonTX-04: not polled; result R+36.8 · Pat Fallon (R) wonTX-33: not polled; result D+37.6 · Marc Veasey (D) wonNV-04: not polled; result D+8.1 · Steven Horsford (D) wonME-01: polls D+28.9 ±5.0 · 2 pollsters; result D+22.3 · Chellie Pingree (D) wonNY-19: polls D+4.8 ±7.8 · 1 pollster; result D+2.2 · Josh Riley (D) wonAR-04: not polled; result R+45.8 · Bruce Westerman (R) wonAL-02: polls D+7.8 ±5.5 · 2 pollsters; result D+9.2 · Shomari Figures (D) wonLA-05: no recent pollCA-16: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Sam Liccardo (D) wonNC-13: not polled; result R+17.3 · Brad Knott (R) wonAL-07: not polled; result D+27.4 · Terri A. Sewell (D) wonPA-01: not polled; result R+12.8 · Brian Fitzpatrick (R) wonTX-13: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Ronny Jackson (R) wonTX-21: not polled; result R+25.8 · Chip Roy (R) wonIL-13: not polled; result D+16.2 · Nikki Budzinski (D) wonCA-48: not polled; result R+18.6 · Darrell E. Issa (R) wonCO-02: not polled; result D+39.4 · Joe Neguse (D) wonFL-19: not polled; result R+32.6 · Byron Donalds (R) wonIN-05: not polled; result R+18.6 · Victoria Spartz (R) wonKY-02: not polled; result R+46.2 · S. Brett Guthrie (R) wonNE-03: polls R+46.8 ±8.1 · 1 pollster; result R+60.8 · Adrian Smith (R) wonCA-50: not polled; result D+28.5 · Scott Peters (D) wonRI-01: not polled; result D+31.0 · Gabe Amo (D) wonCA-20: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Vince Fong (R) wonVA-05: not polled; result R+15.0 · John J. McGuire III (R) wonNM-03: polls D+18.0 ±9.7 · 1 pollster; result D+12.6 · Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) wonIL-15: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Mary Miller (R) wonNC-07: not polled; result R+17.2 · David Rouzer (R) wonUT-02: not polled; result R+23.8 · Celeste Maloy (R) wonTX-31: not polled; result R+28.9 · John Carter (R) wonAK at-large: polls R+4.6 ±9.5 · 1 pollster; result R+6.3 · Nick Begich (R) wonTX-34: not polled; result D+2.6 · Vicente Gonzalez (D) wonAL-04: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Robert B. Aderholt (R) wonCA-19: not polled; result D+38.6 · Jimmy Panetta (D) wonKS-04: not polled; result R+30.1 · Ron Estes (R) wonPA-03: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Dwight Evans (D) wonFL-01: not polled; result R+32.1 · Matt Gaetz (R) wonLA-02: no recent pollOH-09: not polled; result D+0.6 · Marcy Kaptur (D) wonGA-09: not polled; result R+38.0 · Andrew Clyde (R) wonNY-21: not polled; result R+24.0 · Elise M. Stefanik (R) wonMA-09: not polled; result D+13.0 · Bill Keating (D) wonCA-02: not polled; result D+43.8 · Jared Huffman (D) wonTN-04: not polled; result R+43.2 · Scott DesJarlais (R) wonCA-12: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Lateefah Simon (D) wonFL-07: not polled; result R+13.1 · Cory Lee Mills (R) wonAZ-04: not polled; result D+7.3 · Greg Stanton (D) wonCA-40: not polled; result R+10.5 · Young Kim (R) wonCA-39: not polled; result D+13.4 · Mark Takano (D) wonOH-15: not polled; result R+12.9 · Mike Carey (R) wonWI-05: not polled; result R+28.9 · Scott Fitzgerald (R) wonCA-36: not polled; result D+37.4 · Ted W. Lieu (D) wonFL-13: polls D+2.1 ±6.2 · 1 pollster; result R+9.7 · Anna Paulina Luna (R) wonMS-01: not polled; result R+39.6 · Trent Kelly (R) wonIL-14: not polled; result D+10.2 · Lauren Underwood (D) wonCA-37: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D) wonMA-06: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Seth Moulton (D) wonPA-13: not polled; result R+48.4 · John Joyce (R) wonNY-11: not polled; result R+28.1 · Nicole Malliotakis (R) wonOH-11: not polled; result D+58.7 · Shontel Brown (D) wonGA-07: not polled; result R+29.7 · Rich McCormick (R) wonMI-11: not polled; result D+18.6 · Haley Stevens (D) wonAR-02: not polled; result R+17.9 · French Hill (R) wonCA-34: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Jimmy Gomez (D) wonIL-11: not polled; result D+11.2 · Bill Foster (D) wonMN-05: not polled; result D+49.8 · Ilhan Omar (D) wonTX-09: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Al Green (D) wonCT-04: not polled; result D+23.7 · Jim Himes (D) wonCT-03: not polled; result D+17.8 · Rosa L. DeLauro (D) wonFL-24: not polled; result D+36.5 · Frederica Wilson (D) wonFL-21: not polled; result R+23.6 · Brian Mast (R) wonMD-02: not polled; result D+18.6 · John "Johnny O" Olszewski Jr. (D) wonMA-01: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Richard E. Neal (D) wonFL-09: not polled; result D+12.6 · Darren Soto (D) wonVA-08: not polled; result D+46.9 · Donald S. Beyer Jr. (D) wonMN-02: not polled; result D+13.4 · Angie Craig (D) wonPA-12: not polled; result D+12.8 · Summer Lee (D) wonTX-07: not polled; result D+22.6 · Lizzie Fletcher (D) wonCA-06: not polled; result D+15.2 · Ami Bera (D) wonNY-15: not polled; result D+55.2 · Ritchie Torres (D) wonNY-18: polls D+7.0 ±8.9 · 1 pollster; result D+14.3 · Pat Ryan (D) wonWA-07: not polled; result D+68.1 · Pramila Jayapal (D) wonNC-10: not polled; result R+19.3 · Pat Harrigan (R) wonTX-02: not polled; result R+31.3 · Dan Crenshaw (R) wonNJ-04: not polled; result R+35.7 · Christopher H. Smith (R) wonCA-14: not polled; result D+35.5 · Eric Swalwell (D) wonCA-31: not polled; result D+19.5 · Gil Cisneros (D) wonMA-05: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Katherine M. Clark (D) wonCA-22: polls R+1.0 ±8.2 · 1 pollster; result R+6.8 · David G. Valadao (R) wonCO-06: not polled; result D+20.5 · Jason Crow (D) wonOH-08: not polled; result R+25.6 · Warren Davidson (R) wonIN-06: not polled; result R+32.2 · Jefferson Shreve (R) wonNJ-05: not polled; result D+11.3 · Josh Gottheimer (D) wonNY-03: not polled; result D+3.6 · Thomas R. Suozzi (D) wonCA-32: not polled; result D+32.4 · Brad Sherman (D) wonCA-47: polls R+3.0 ±8.9 · 1 pollster; result D+2.9 · Dave Min (D) wonCA-15: not polled; result D+46.2 · Kevin Mullin (D) wonCA-17: not polled; result D+35.3 · Ro Khanna (D) wonFL-14: not polled; result D+15.4 · Kathy Castor (D) wonFL-16: not polled; result R+19.0 · Vern Buchanan (R) wonAZ-03: not polled; result D+44.4 · Yassamin Ansari (D) wonIL-09: not polled; result D+36.8 · Janice D. Schakowsky (D) wonCA-35: not polled; result D+16.8 · Norma J. Torres (D) wonKS-03: not polled; result D+10.8 · Sharice Davids (D) wonCA-46: not polled; result D+26.9 · Lou Correa (D) wonMI-13: not polled; result D+44.1 · Shri Thanedar (D) wonMI-08: polls D+1.2 ±8.8 · 1 pollster; result D+6.6 · Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) wonMO-07: not polled; result R+45.3 · Eric Burlison (R) wonMO-01: not polled; result D+57.6 · Wesley Bell (D) wonNJ-09: not polled; result D+4.9 · Nellie Pou (D) wonOH-03: not polled; result D+41.5 · Joyce Beatty (D) wonTX-37: not polled; result D+50.6 · Lloyd Doggett (D) wonWA-01: not polled; result D+26.3 · Suzan DelBene (D) wonNJ-11: not polled; result D+14.7 · Mikie Sherrill (D) wonOR-06: not polled; result D+6.8 · Andrea Salinas (D) wonPA-05: not polled; result D+30.6 · Mary Gay Scanlon (D) wonPA-17: not polled; result D+7.8 · Chris Deluzio (D) wonPA-04: not polled; result D+18.1 · Madeleine Dean (D) wonPA-02: not polled; result D+42.9 · Brendan F. Boyle (D) wonNY-17: polls R+7.3 ±8.6 · 1 pollster; result R+6.3 · Mike Lawler (R) wonOH-14: not polled; result R+26.8 · David P. Joyce (R) wonFL-25: not polled; result D+8.9 · Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) wonFL-15: not polled; result R+12.4 · Laurel Lee (R) wonFL-26: not polled; result R+41.8 · Mario Diaz-Balart (R) wonPA-07: not polled; result R+1.0 · Ryan E. Mackenzie (R) wonRI-02: not polled; result D+16.7 · Seth Magaziner (D) wonVA-03: not polled; result D+40.1 · Robert C. "Bobby" Scott (D) wonMN-03: not polled; result D+17.0 · Kelly Morrison (D) wonMN-06: not polled; result R+25.0 · Tom Emmer (R) wonMN-04: not polled; result D+34.7 · Betty McCollum (D) wonTX-20: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Joaquin Castro (D) wonTX-03: not polled; result R+24.9 · Keith Self (R) wonTX-29: not polled; result D+30.6 · Sylvia Garcia (D) wonTX-19: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Jodey C. Arrington (R) wonAZ-05: not polled; result R+20.8 · Andy Biggs (R) wonNM-01: polls D+18.0 ±9.6 · 1 pollster; result D+12.7 · Melanie Ann Stansbury (D) wonIL-08: not polled; result D+14.1 · Raja Krishnamoorthi (D) wonIL-06: not polled; result D+8.4 · Sean Casten (D) wonCA-52: not polled; result D+32.6 · Juan Vargas (D) wonCA-41: not polled; result R+3.4 · Ken Calvert (R) wonCA-07: not polled; result D+33.5 · Doris Matsui (D) wonCA-26: not polled; result D+12.1 · Julia Brownley (D) wonFL-27: not polled; result R+20.8 · Maria Elvira Salazar (R) wonFL-08: not polled; result R+24.5 · Mike Haridopolos (R) wonFL-17: not polled; result R+27.8 · Greg Steube (R) wonHI-01: not polled; result D+43.7 · Ed Case (D) wonIN-03: not polled; result R+33.6 · Marlin A. Stutzman (R) wonIN-01: not polled; result D+8.5 · Frank J. Mrvan (D) wonIN-04: not polled; result R+33.9 · Jim Baird (R) wonIN-02: not polled; result R+28.1 · Rudy Yakym (R) wonMD-03: not polled; result D+21.4 · Sarah Elfreth (D) wonMD-04: not polled; result D+77.2 · Glenn F. Ivey (D) wonMO-05: not polled; result D+23.8 · Emanuel Cleaver II (D) wonCO-01: not polled; result D+55.0 · Diana DeGette (D) wonCO-08: polls R+1.0 ±8.6 · 1 pollster; result R+0.7 · Gabe Evans (R) wonCO-05: not polled; result R+13.8 · Jeff Crank (R) wonCT-05: polls D+1.1 ±7.6 · 1 pollster; result D+6.8 · Jahana Hayes (D) wonFL-23: not polled; result D+4.9 · Jared Moskowitz (D) wonTX-11: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · August Pfluger (R) wonNV-03: not polled; result D+2.7 · Susie Lee (D) wonMO-02: not polled; result R+12.0 · Ann Wagner (R) wonNE-02: polls D+3.2 ±9.7 · 1 pollster; result R+1.9 · Don Bacon (R) wonTN-08: not polled; result R+46.8 · David Kustoff (R) wonTN-02: not polled; result R+38.5 · Tim Burchett (R) wonSC-06: not polled; result D+22.8 · James E. "Jim" Clyburn (D) wonMI-09: not polled; result R+37.3 · Lisa McClain (R) wonNV-01: not polled; result D+7.5 · Dina Titus (D) wonNJ-03: not polled; result D+8.6 · Herb Conaway (D) wonNJ-01: not polled; result D+17.8 · Donald Norcross (D) wonNJ-12: not polled; result D+24.8 · Bonnie Watson Coleman (D) wonNJ-10: not polled; result D+52.2 · LaMonica McIver (D) wonMI-12: not polled; result D+44.3 · Rashida Tlaib (D) wonMI-06: not polled; result D+27.0 · Debbie Dingell (D) wonMI-04: not polled; result R+11.7 · Bill Huizenga (R) wonMI-10: polls R+1.9 ±6.7 · 2 pollsters; result R+6.1 · John James (R) wonNJ-06: not polled; result D+15.7 · Frank Pallone Jr. (D) wonCA-30: not polled; result D+36.8 · Laura Friedman (D) wonOR-03: not polled; result D+42.5 · Maxine E. Dexter (D) wonCA-49: polls D+13.8 ±7.6 · 1 pollster; result D+4.3 · Mike Levin (D) wonCA-21: not polled; result D+5.1 · Jim Costa (D) wonIL-10: not polled; result D+19.9 · Brad Schneider (D) wonIL-07: not polled; result D+66.6 · Danny K. Davis (D) wonIA-03: not polled; result R+3.8 · Zach Nunn (R) wonGA-13: not polled; result D+43.7 · David Scott (D) wonGA-14: not polled; result R+28.7 · Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) wonGA-04: not polled; result D+51.2 · Henry "Hank" Johnson Jr. (D) wonNY-25: not polled; result D+21.6 · Joseph D. Morelle (D) wonNY-09: not polled; result D+48.0 · Yvette D. Clarke (D) wonNY-12: not polled; result D+60.9 · Jerry Nadler (D) wonNY-13: not polled; result D+66.7 · Adriano Espaillat (D) wonNY-04: polls D+8.0 ±5.3 · 2 pollsters; result D+2.3 · Laura A. Gillen (D) wonNY-05: not polled; result D+45.7 · Gregory W. Meeks (D) wonNY-06: not polled; result D+23.0 · Grace Meng (D) wonFL-11: not polled; result R+20.8 · Daniel Webster (R) wonTX-08: not polled; result R+36.4 · Morgan Luttrell (R) wonIL-04: not polled; result D+40.2 · Jesus "Chuy" Garcia (D) wonFL-12: not polled; result R+42.1 · Gus Michael Bilirakis (R) wonVA-06: not polled; result R+28.6 · Ben L. Cline (R) wonNC-06: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Addison McDowell (R) wonNY-14: not polled; result D+38.2 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) wonNY-16: not polled; result D+43.0 · George S. Latimer (D) wonNC-12: not polled; result D+48.0 · Alma S. Adams (D) wonNC-02: not polled; result D+34.6 · Deborah K. Ross (D) wonNC-04: not polled; result D+45.7 · Valerie P. Foushee (D) wonWI-01: not polled; result R+10.2 · Bryan Steil (R) wonMA-03: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Lori Loureiro Trahan (D) wonMA-02: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · James P. McGovern (D) wonOH-01: not polled; result D+9.2 · Greg Landsman (D) wonOH-05: not polled; result R+35.0 · Bob Latta (R) wonOH-12: not polled; result R+37.0 · Troy Balderson (R) wonOH-10: not polled; result R+18.4 · Mike Turner (R) wonUT-01: not polled; result R+31.1 · Blake D. Moore (R) wonUT-04: not polled; result R+33.2 · Burgess Owens (R) wonMT-01: polls R+7.5 ±5.3 · 3 pollsters; result R+7.7 · Ryan K. Zinke (R) wonCT-01: not polled; result D+28.3 · John B. Larson (D) wonFL-22: not polled; result D+9.9 · Lois Frankel (D) wonMI-02: not polled; result R+33.5 · John Moolenaar (R) wonWI-04: not polled; result D+52.4 · Gwen Moore (D) wonFL-28: not polled; result R+29.1 · Carlos A. Gimenez (R) wonCA-38: not polled; result D+19.7 · Linda T. Sánchez (D) wonPA-11: not polled; result R+25.8 · Lloyd K. Smucker (R) wonFL-10: not polled; result D+24.7 · Maxwell Alejandro Frost (D) wonAL-05: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Dale Strong (R) wonCA-27: not polled; result D+2.7 · George Whitesides (D) wonFL-05: not polled; result R+26.1 · John H. Rutherford (R) wonAL-03: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Mike Rogers (R) wonNY-26: not polled; result D+30.3 · Timothy M. Kennedy (D) wonCA-44: not polled; result D+42.7 · Nanette Diaz Barragán (D) wonCA-43: not polled; result D+50.1 · Maxine Waters (D) wonFL-18: not polled; result R+30.6 · Scott Franklin (R) wonCA-51: polls D+36.8 ±7.3 · 1 pollster; result D+21.4 · Sara Jacobs (D) wonFL-20: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D) wonCA-33: not polled; result D+17.6 · Pete Aguilar (D) wonNY-22: polls D+3.2 ±9.4 · 1 pollster; result D+9.1 · John W. Mannion (D) wonCA-10: not polled; result D+32.9 · Mark DeSaulnier (D) wonNY-08: not polled; result D+50.6 · Hakeem Jeffries (D) wonGA-05: not polled; result D+71.4 · Nikema Williams (D) wonOH-07: not polled; result R+15.0 · Max Miller (R) wonMD-08: not polled; result D+56.3 · Jamie Raskin (D) wonFL-06: not polled; result R+33.1 · Michael Waltz (R) wonWA-09: not polled; result D+33.0 · Adam Smith (D) wonPA-10: not polled; result R+1.3 · Scott Perry (R) wonVA-04: not polled; result D+34.9 · Jennifer L. McClellan (D) wonTX-12: not polled; result R+26.9 · Craig Goldman (R) wonAZ-08: not polled; result R+13.0 · Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh (R) wonVA-07: polls D+2.0 ±9.1 · 1 pollster; result D+2.6 · Eugene S. Vindman (D) wonGA-11: not polled; result R+33.8 · Barry Loudermilk (R) wonGA-06: not polled; result D+49.4 · Lucy McBath (D) wonNY-02: not polled; result R+19.5 · Andrew R. Garbarino (R) wonNY-10: not polled; result D+66.3 · Daniel Goldman (D) wonNY-20: not polled; result D+20.3 · Paul D. Tonko (D) wonWI-02: not polled; result D+40.2 · Mark Pocan (D) wonMA-07: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Ayanna S. Pressley (D) wonPA-06: not polled; result D+12.4 · Chrissy Houlahan (D) wonOH-04: not polled; result R+36.9 · Jim Jordan (R) wonAR-01: not polled; result R+48.9 · Rick Crawford (R) wonAR-03: not polled; result R+32.0 · Steve Womack (R) wonMD-07: not polled; result D+63.1 · Kweisi Mfume (D) wonNJ-08: not polled; result D+24.5 · Rob Menendez (D) wonWA-10: not polled; result D+17.3 · Marilyn Strickland (D) wonCA-09: not polled; result D+3.6 · Josh Harder (D) wonKY-03: not polled; result D+23.9 · Morgan McGarvey (D) wonTX-30: not polled; result not a D-vs-R race · Jasmine Crockett (D) wonOK-05: not polled; result R+21.4 · Stephanie Bice (R) wonPA-14: not polled; result R+33.1 · Guy Reschenthaler (R) wonVA-11: not polled; result D+33.8 · Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly (D) wonTX-16: not polled; result D+19.1 · Veronica Escobar (D) wonAZ-01: not polled; result R+3.8 · David Schweikert (R) wonCA-29: not polled; result D+39.6 · Luz Maria Rivas (D) wonKY-06: not polled; result R+26.1 · Andy Barr (R) wonNE-01: polls R+14.8 ±9.2 · 1 pollster; result R+20.2 · Mike Flood (R) wonMI-03: not polled; result D+9.9 · Hillary Scholten (D) wonNY-07: not polled; result D+39.4 · Nydia M. Velazquez (D) wonCA-05: not polled; result R+23.5 · Tom McClintock (R) won
  • D won by 10+
  • D won, under 10
  • Tied
  • R won, under 10
  • R won by 10+
  • Independent or other contest

Sources: Polls: ABC News / 538 poll pages, archived 2025-03-06; Results: ABC News / 538 election-results files (fivethirtyeight/election-results).

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