2024 President results
In 2024 the final polling averages missed the result by 4.39 points on average across 118 races, and leaned 3.23 points toward the Democrats.
Colour shows how each race came out (538's results files). Compare with the final polls.
- D won by 10+
- D won, under 10
- Tied
- R won, under 10
- R won by 10+
- Independent or other contest
Sources: Polls: ABC News / 538 poll pages, archived 2025-03-06; Results: ABC News / 538 election-results files (fivethirtyeight/election-results).