2000 Senate · DE
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · fieldwork ended 2000-10-31 (7 days before the election) · 625 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 44% · Republican 44%
even
The certified result
Democrat 55.53% · Republican 43.70%
D+11.8
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 44 − 44 = 0.00
- Actual margin = 55.526 − 43.698 = 11.828
- Signed miss = 0.00 − (11.828) = -11.827
- Absolute miss = |-11.827| = 11.827
The poll overstated the Republican by 11.8 points and showed a tie.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 25768, race ID 1686 (538 database).