1998 Senate · SC
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · fieldwork ended 1998-10-27 (7 days before the election) · 806 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 49% · Republican 44%
D+5.0
The certified result
Democrat 52.70% · Republican 45.67%
D+7.0
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 49 − 44 = 5.00
- Actual margin = 52.698 − 45.670 = 7.028
- Signed miss = 5.00 − (7.028) = -2.028
- Absolute miss = |-2.028| = 2.028
The poll overstated the Republican by 2.0 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 26175, race ID 1745 (538 database).