2000 Governor · IN
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-10-30 (8 days before the election) · 723 respondents · IVR
The poll said
Democrat 52% · Republican 38%
D+14.0
The certified result
Democrat 56.56% · Republican 41.68%
D+14.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 52 − 38 = 14.00
- Actual margin = 56.557 − 41.678 = 14.879
- Signed miss = 14.00 − (14.879) = -0.878
- Absolute miss = |-0.878| = 0.878
The poll overstated the Republican by 0.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54452, race ID 1420 (538 database).