Skip to content

2000 Governor · NC

Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-11-01 (6 days before the election) · 1,163 respondents · IVR

The poll said

Democrat 45% · Republican 43%

D+2.0

The certified result

Democrat 52.02% · Republican 46.26%

D+5.8

The arithmetic

  1. Poll margin = 45 − 43 = 2.00
  2. Actual margin = 52.015 − 46.259 = 5.756
  3. Signed miss = 2.00 − (5.756) = -3.757
  4. Absolute miss = |-3.757| = 3.757

The poll overstated the Republican by 3.8 points and had the right leader.

Where these numbers come from

Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54485, race ID 1423 (538 database).