2000 Senate · ND
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-10-21 (17 days before the election) · 1,258 respondents · IVR
The poll said
Democrat 57% · Republican 34%
D+23.0
The certified result
Democrat 61.37% · Republican 38.63%
D+22.7
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 57 − 34 = 23.00
- Actual margin = 61.373 − 38.627 = 22.746
- Signed miss = 23.00 − (22.746) = 0.255
- Absolute miss = |0.255| = 0.255
The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.3 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54489, race ID 1704 (538 database).