2000 Governor · WV
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-11-02 (5 days before the election) · 1,066 respondents · IVR
The poll said
Democrat 48% · Republican 43%
D+5.0
The certified result
Democrat 50.12% · Republican 47.21%
D+2.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 48 − 43 = 5.00
- Actual margin = 50.123 − 47.207 = 2.916
- Signed miss = 5.00 − (2.916) = 2.084
- Absolute miss = |2.084| = 2.084
The poll overstated the Democrat by 2.1 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 54530, race ID 1429 (538 database).