2000 Senate · TN
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · fieldwork ended 2000-11-02 (5 days before the election) · 625 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 30% · Republican 62%
R+32.0
The certified result
Democrat 32.21% · Republican 65.10%
R+32.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 30 − 62 = -32.00
- Actual margin = 32.207 − 65.096 = -32.889
- Signed miss = -32.00 − (-32.889) = 0.889
- Absolute miss = |0.889| = 0.889
The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6154, race ID 1708 (538 database).