2000 Senate · FL
Zogby Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-11-02 (5 days before the election) · 600 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 44% · Republican 39%
D+5.0
The certified result
Democrat 51.04% · Republican 46.19%
D+4.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 44 − 39 = 5.00
- Actual margin = 51.044 − 46.192 = 4.852
- Signed miss = 5.00 − (4.852) = 0.149
- Absolute miss = |0.149| = 0.149
The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.1 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6168, race ID 1687 (538 database).