2000 President · TN
Zogby Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-11-02 (5 days before the election) · 500 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 46% · Republican 46%
even
The certified result
Democrat 47.28% · Republican 51.15%
R+3.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 46 − 46 = 0.00
- Actual margin = 47.285 − 51.149 = -3.864
- Signed miss = 0.00 − (-3.864) = 3.864
- Absolute miss = |3.864| = 3.864
The poll overstated the Democrat by 3.9 points and showed a tie.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6185, race ID 848 (538 database).