2000 President · VA
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy · fieldwork ended 2000-10-30 (8 days before the election) · 625 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 41% · Republican 49%
R+8.0
The certified result
Democrat 44.44% · Republican 52.47%
R+8.0
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 41 − 49 = -8.00
- Actual margin = 44.436 − 52.474 = -8.038
- Signed miss = -8.00 − (-8.038) = 0.038
- Absolute miss = |0.038| = 0.038
The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.0 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6231, race ID 851 (538 database).