2000 Senate · TN
Zogby Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-10-30 (8 days before the election) · 500 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 29% · Republican 58%
R+29.0
The certified result
Democrat 32.21% · Republican 65.10%
R+32.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 29 − 58 = -29.00
- Actual margin = 32.207 − 65.096 = -32.889
- Signed miss = -29.00 − (-32.889) = 3.889
- Absolute miss = |3.889| = 3.889
The poll overstated the Democrat by 3.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6270, race ID 1708 (538 database).