2000 Senate · TN
Zogby Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-10-27 (11 days before the election) · 500 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 27% · Republican 61%
R+34.0
The certified result
Democrat 32.21% · Republican 65.10%
R+32.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 27 − 61 = -34.00
- Actual margin = 32.207 − 65.096 = -32.889
- Signed miss = -34.00 − (-32.889) = -1.111
- Absolute miss = |-1.111| = 1.111
The poll overstated the Republican by 1.1 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 6340, race ID 1708 (538 database).