2000 President · MA
Harris Insights & Analytics · fieldwork ended 2000-11-03 (4 days before the election) · 5,141 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 58% · Republican 32%
D+26.0
The certified result
Democrat 59.13% · Republican 32.13%
D+27.0
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 58 − 32 = 26.00
- Actual margin = 59.125 − 32.132 = 26.993
- Signed miss = 26.00 − (26.993) = -0.993
- Absolute miss = |-0.993| = 0.993
The poll overstated the Republican by 1.0 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 63558, race ID 825 (538 database).