2000 Senate · TN
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) · fieldwork ended 2000-10-28 (10 days before the election) · 722 respondents · IVR
The poll said
Democrat 31% · Republican 57%
R+26.0
The certified result
Democrat 32.21% · Republican 65.10%
R+32.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 31 − 57 = -26.00
- Actual margin = 32.207 − 65.096 = -32.889
- Signed miss = -26.00 − (-32.889) = 6.889
- Absolute miss = |6.889| = 6.889
The poll overstated the Democrat by 6.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 raw_polls.csv. Poll ID 63626, race ID 1708 (538 database).