2024 House · Georgia
PPP · fieldwork ended 2024-10-18 (18 days before the election) · 400 respondents · IVR/Text · partisan sponsor (DEM)
The poll said
Democrat 51% · Republican 40%
D+11.0
The certified result
Democrat 56.33% · Republican 43.67%
D+12.7
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 51 − 40 = 11.00
- Actual margin = 56.329 − 43.671 = 12.658
- Signed miss = 11.00 − (12.658) = -1.658
- Absolute miss = |-1.658| = 1.658
The poll overstated the Republican by 1.7 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 house_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 88906, race ID 9656 (538 database).
population: lv