2024 President · South Carolina
ActiVote · fieldwork ended 2024-10-29 (7 days before the election) · 400 respondents · App Panel
The poll said
Democrat 41.5% · Republican 58.5%
R+17.0
The certified result
Democrat 40.36% · Republican 58.23%
R+17.9
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 41.5 − 58.5 = -17.00
- Actual margin = 40.361 − 58.229 = -17.868
- Signed miss = -17.00 − (-17.868) = 0.868
- Absolute miss = |0.868| = 0.868
The poll overstated the Democrat by 0.9 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 president_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 89096, race ID 8880 (538 database).
population: lv