2024 President · Colorado
YouGov · fieldwork ended 2024-10-30 (6 days before the election) · 750 respondents · Online Matched Sample
The poll said
Democrat 55% · Republican 41%
D+14.0
The certified result
Democrat 54.13% · Republican 43.14%
D+11.0
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 55 − 41 = 14.00
- Actual margin = 54.128 − 43.143 = 10.985
- Signed miss = 14.00 − (10.985) = 3.015
- Absolute miss = |3.015| = 3.015
The poll overstated the Democrat by 3.0 points and had the right leader.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 president_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 89316, race ID 8765 (538 database).
population: lv