Hart/POS
Polls scored
16
7 races, 2000–2024
Lean
0.6 pts toward Democrats
95% range -1.8 to 3.3
Average miss
3.0 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
71%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | 2024 President · US | R+1.0 | R+1.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2024-10-19 | 2024 President · US | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-30 | 2020 President · US | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2020-10-23 | 2020 President · US | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | +6.6 | autopsy |
| 2016-11-04 | 2016 President · US | D+4.0 | D+2.2 | +1.8 | autopsy |
| 2016-10-23 | 2016 President · US | D+9.0 | D+2.2 | +6.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-11-02 | 2012 President · US | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-19 | 2012 President · US | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-01 | 2008 President · US | D+8.0 | D+7.4 | +0.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-19 | 2008 President · US | D+11.0 | D+7.4 | +3.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · US | R+1.0 | R+2.4 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-17 | 2004 President · US | even | R+2.4 | +2.4 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-04 | 2000 President · US | R+3.0 | D+0.5 | -3.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-02 | 2000 President · US | R+3.0 | D+0.5 | -3.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-18 | 2000 President · US | R+2.0 | D+0.5 | -2.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-18 | 2000 President · US | R+2.0 | D+0.5 | -2.5 | autopsy |