CBS News/The New York Times
Polls scored
20
14 races, 1998–2016
Lean
2.1 pts toward Republicans
95% range -6.4 to 1.2
Average miss
5.3 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
79%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-30 | 2016 President · US | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-27 | 2012 President · US | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-27 | 2008 President · US | D+13.0 | D+7.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-21 | 2008 President · US | D+13.0 | D+7.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-18 | 2008 President · US | D+13.0 | D+7.4 | +5.6 | autopsy |
| 2006-10-22 | 2006 Senate · NJ | D+1.0 | D+16.0 | -15.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-31 | 2004 President · US | R+2.0 | R+2.4 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-16 | 2004 President · US | R+1.0 | R+2.4 | +1.4 | autopsy |
| 2002-10-21 | 2002 Senate · NJ | D+13.0 | D+9.9 | +3.1 | autopsy |
| 2001-10-22 | 2001 Governor · NJ | D+13.0 | D+14.8 | -1.8 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-05 | 2000 President · US | D+1.0 | D+0.5 | +0.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-03 | 2000 President · US | R+5.0 | D+0.5 | -5.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-02 | 2000 President · US | R+2.0 | D+0.5 | -2.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-27 | 2000 President · NY | D+20.0 | D+24.2 | -4.2 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-27 | 2000 Senate · NY | D+8.0 | D+12.0 | -4.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-23 | 2000 President · FL | D+5.0 | even | +5.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-23 | 2000 Senate · FL | D+9.0 | D+4.9 | +4.1 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-20 | 2000 President · US | R+2.0 | D+0.5 | -2.5 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-23 | 1998 Governor · NY | R+35.0 | R+14.1 | -20.9 | autopsy |
| 1998-10-23 | 1998 Senate · NY | even | D+14.2 | -14.2 | autopsy |