President


Difference: 1.6 points Also: Jill Stein (G) 1.0%, Chase Oliver (L) 0.8%
Photos: Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Jill Stein, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+1.6, corrected R+2.5 · 26 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04
Result: Donald Trump (R) 52.2% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 46.7%, Jill Stein (G) 0.5% · R+5.5. The plain poll average missed by 3.9 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 875 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 45.9; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.4 | R+5.1 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 875 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51.6; Kamala Harris (D) 46.5 | R+5.1 |
| Victory Insights | 2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03 | 750 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.2; Kamala Harris (D) 48.4 | R+0.8 |
| Patriot Polling | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 801 RV | Donald Trump (R) 51.1; Kamala Harris (D) 47.6 | R+3.5 |
| Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned) | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 1,090 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.1 | R+2.1 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 967 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51.9; Kamala Harris (D) 45.1; Jill Stein (G) 0.8; Chase Oliver (L) 0.6 | R+6.8 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 967 LV | Donald Trump (R) 52.3; Kamala Harris (D) 45.8 | R+6.5 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.1; Kamala Harris (D) 46.2 | R+2.9 |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02 | 900 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.8; Kamala Harris (D) 48.7 | R+2.1 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 1,005 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.8; Kamala Harris (D) 45.9; Jill Stein (G) 1.1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.5 | R+4.9 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 1,005 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 46.8 | R+4.2 |
| SoCal Strategies for On Point Politics | Red Eagle Politics(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 750 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.5; Kamala Harris (D) 48.7 | R+0.8 |
| OnMessage | 2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+3.0 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31 | 652 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+1.0 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-30 | 775 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+1.0 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-28 | 610 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0 | R+2.0 |
| Mitchell Research & Communications | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-28 | 610 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+2.0 |
| Data Orbital | 2024-10-26 to 2024-10-28 | 550 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.7; Kamala Harris (D) 41.9; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.7 | R+7.8 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,025 RV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 44 | R+4.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,025 RV | Donald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 42; Jill Stein (G) 3; Chase Oliver (L) 2 | R+5.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,025 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 45 | R+4.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,025 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 44; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | R+4.0 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 880 RV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49 | R+1.0 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 856 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49 | R+1.0 |
| Data for Progress | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-30 | 1,079 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+1.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,458 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.6; Kamala Harris (D) 46.4; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.1 | R+4.2 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,458 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.8; Kamala Harris (D) 47.3 | R+3.5 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-27 | 901 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+2.0 |
| RABA Research | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-27 | 589 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 45; Donald Trump (R) 43 | D+2.0 |
| Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26 | 1,094 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.1; Kamala Harris (D) 46 | R+2.1 |
| J.L. Partners | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26 | 500 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0 | R+1.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-30 | 666 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.4; Kamala Harris (D) 48.3 | R+0.1 |
| CNN/SSRS | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-26 | 781 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1 | D+1.0 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-20 to 2024-10-22 | 710 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+2.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-20 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.5; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+2.5 |
| HighGround | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-20 | 400 LV | Donald Trump (R) 46.8; Kamala Harris (D) 46.2 | R+0.6 |
| Marist College | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-22 | 1,329 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49 | Tied |
| Marist College | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-22 | 1,193 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49 | R+1.0 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 915 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1 | Tied |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 915 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49 | Tied |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 861 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1 | Tied |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 861 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49 | Tied |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-18 | 691 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+3.0 |
| University of Arizona School of Government and Public Policy/Truedot | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-20 | 846 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 46.15; Donald Trump (R) 45.48 | D+0.7 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 1,440 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.2; Kamala Harris (D) 48.6; Jill Stein (G) 0.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0.1 | R+0.6 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 1,440 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49.3; Donald Trump (R) 49.2 | D+0.1 |
| YouGov for CBS News | 2024-10-11 to 2024-10-16 | 1,435 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+3.0 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-08 to 2024-11-01 | 400 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.9; Kamala Harris (D) 49.1 | R+1.8 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 653 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+1.0 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,779 A | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | D+2.0 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,603 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | D+2.0 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,779 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+1.0 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 2,077 A | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49 | Tied |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 2,066 LV | Donald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+4.0 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 580 RV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 44 | R+6.0 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 580 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 46 | R+3.0 |