U.S. Senate

DAdam B. Schiff
59.2%won
average of 6 polls · result 58.9%
RSteve Garvey
36.3%
average of 6 polls · result 41.1%
Difference: 22.9 points
Photos: Adam B. Schiff, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+22.9, corrected D+21.9 (±2.9) · 6 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-03
Result: Adam B. Schiff (D) 58.9% ✓, Steve Garvey (R) 41.1% · D+17.7. The plain poll average missed by 5.2 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | 2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03 | 450 LV | Adam B. Schiff (D) 60; Steve Garvey (R) 37 | D+23.0 | 8.8 |
| Cygnal | 2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30 | 611 LV | Adam B. Schiff (D) 60; Steve Garvey (R) 35.8 | D+24.2 | 7.5 |
| University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for LA Times | 2024-10-22 to 2024-10-29 | 4,341 LV | Adam B. Schiff (D) 55; Steve Garvey (R) 34 | D+21.0 | 2.7 |
| YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government | 2024-10-07 to 2024-10-17 | 1,139 RV | Adam B. Schiff (D) 56; Steve Garvey (R) 35 | D+21.0 | 5.4 |
| Public Policy Institute of California | 2024-10-07 to 2024-10-15 | 1,137 LV | Adam B. Schiff (D) 63; Steve Garvey (R) 37 | D+26.0 | 5.6 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-27 | 400 LV | Adam B. Schiff (D) 61.2; Steve Garvey (R) 38.8 | D+22.4 | 9.6 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-18 | 400 LV | Adam B. Schiff (D) 63.4; Steve Garvey (R) 36.6 | D+26.8 | 9.4 |