Governor
RByron Donalds
48.9%
average of 10 polls
DDavid Jolly
44.1%
average of 10 polls
Difference: 4.8 points
Photos: Byron Donalds, United States Congress, Public domain; David Jolly, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+4.8, corrected R+4.7 · 10 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-23
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedBox Research | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-23 | 4,832 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 49; David Jolly (D) 44; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 4 | R+5.0 |
| co/efficient for efficient (R)(R-aligned) | 2026-10-18 to 2026-10-20 | 1,014 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 49; David Jolly (D) 40; Undecided (UND) 11 | R+9.0 |
| University of North Florida | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-19 | 1,378 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 49; David Jolly (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 4 | R+2.0 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates(R-aligned) | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-11 | 1,200 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 49; David Jolly (D) 43; Undecided (UND) 8 | R+6.0 |
| Change Research(R-aligned) | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-10 | 920 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 47; David Jolly (D) 47; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 5 | Tied |
| St. Pete Polls | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07 | 836 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 45; David Jolly (D) 45; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 7 | Tied |
| MDW Communications | 2026-10-04 to 2026-10-10 | 2,351 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 47; David Jolly (D) 44; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+3.0 |
| Univision / YouGov for YouGov | 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-15 | 825 RV | Byron Donalds (R) 50; David Jolly (D) 42; Undecided (UND) 8 | R+8.0 |
| ActiVote | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-19 | 400 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 52; David Jolly (D) 48 | R+4.0 |
| Stetson University(D-aligned) | 2026-10-01 to 2026-10-09 | 716 LV | Byron Donalds (R) 52; David Jolly (D) 41; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 5 | R+11.0 |