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Florida 2024 polls and results

President

Photo of Donald Trump
RDonald Trump
51.3%won
average of 17 polls · result 56.1%
Photo of Kamala Harris
DKamala Harris
45.3%
average of 17 polls · result 43.0%

Difference: 6.0 points Also: Jill Stein (G) 0.7%, Chase Oliver (L) 0.6%, Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) 0.7%, Randall A. Terry (CON) 0.4%

Photos: Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Jill Stein, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Claudia De La Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation, CC BY 3.0; Randall A. Terry, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+6.1, corrected R+7.1 (±1.7) · 17 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-03

Result: Donald Trump (R) 56.1% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 43.0% · R+13.1. The plain poll average missed by 7.0 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Research Co.2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03450 LVDonald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 44R+7.09.0
Victory Insights2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02400 LVDonald Trump (R) 51.2; Kamala Harris (D) 46.9R+4.39.7
Cygnal2024-10-26 to 2024-10-28600 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.2; Kamala Harris (D) 43.1; Jill Stein (G) 1.1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.7; Peter Sonski (OTH) 0.7; Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) 0.7; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0.4R+5.17.6
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research2024-10-25 to 2024-11-01452 LVDonald Trump (R) 53; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+7.09.2
Morning Consult2024-10-23 to 2024-11-012,022 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.9; Kamala Harris (D) 46.1R+4.84.3
St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics2024-10-23 to 2024-10-251,227 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.3; Kamala Harris (D) 44.6R+5.75.4
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-19 to 2024-10-27913 RVDonald Trump (R) 53; Kamala Harris (D) 44R+9.06.4
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-19 to 2024-10-27897 LVDonald Trump (R) 53; Kamala Harris (D) 44R+9.06.4
Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar2024-10-18 to 2024-10-20860 LVDonald Trump (R) 53.6; Kamala Harris (D) 45.9R+7.76.7
Hunt Research for FSU Institute for Governance and Civics2024-10-16 to 2024-10-221,234 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.9; Kamala Harris (D) 44.8R+5.15.4
Hunt Research for FSU Institute for Governance and Civics2024-10-16 to 2024-10-221,234 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.7; Kamala Harris (D) 43.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0.4; Jill Stein (G) 0.4R+6.05.4
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-16 to 2024-10-181,275 LVDonald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 45; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0R+4.05.3
RMG Research for Napolitan News Service2024-10-14 to 2024-10-17788 LVDonald Trump (R) 52; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+5.06.9
ActiVote2024-10-11 to 2024-10-27400 LVDonald Trump (R) 55.8; Kamala Harris (D) 44.2R+11.69.7
Cherry Communications for Florida Chamber of Commerce(REP-aligned)2024-10-10 to 2024-10-20614 LVDonald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 45R+6.07.7
ActiVote2024-10-07 to 2024-10-20400 LVDonald Trump (R) 54.6; Kamala Harris (D) 45.4R+9.29.8
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab2024-10-07 to 2024-10-18977 LVDonald Trump (R) 53; Kamala Harris (D) 43R+10.06.1
YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government2024-10-07 to 2024-10-171,094 RVDonald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+5.05.8
YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government2024-10-07 to 2024-10-171,076 LVDonald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+5.05.9
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-011,250 ADonald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0R+2.05.4
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-011,099 RVDonald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0R+4.05.8
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-011,250 LVDonald Trump (R) 52; Kamala Harris (D) 45; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Jill Stein (G) 0R+7.05.5
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-255,952 ADonald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+4.02.5
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-255,916 LVDonald Trump (R) 52; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+6.02.5