District 1 no polls
Predicted D+54.4: the 2024 result (D+43.7) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
Hawaii 2026 polls
District 2 no polls
Predicted D+47.0: the 2024 result (D+36.3) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).