District 1 no polls
Predicted R+27.6: the 2024 result (R+38.3) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
Kansas 2026 polls
District 2
RDerek Schmidt
49.0%
average of 1 poll
DDon Coover
46.0%
average of 1 poll
Difference: 3.0 points
Plain average R+3.0, corrected R+3.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-20
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC | 2026-10-19 to 2026-10-20 | 639 LV | Derek Schmidt (R) 49; Don Coover (D) 46; Undecided (UND) 6 | R+3.0 |
District 3 no polls
Predicted D+21.4: the 2024 result (D+10.8) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 4 no polls
Predicted R+19.4: the 2024 result (R+30.1) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).