District 1 no polls
Predicted D+33.0: the 2024 result (D+22.3) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
Maine 2026 polls
District 2
DMatthew Dunlap
50.0%
average of 1 poll
RPaul LePage
46.0%
average of 1 poll
Difference: 4.0 points
Photos: Paul LePage, Jason Savage, CC BY 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+4.0, corrected D+4.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-14
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research(D-aligned) | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14 | 500 LV | Matthew Dunlap (D) 50; Paul LePage (R) 46; Undecided (UND) 4 | D+4.0 |