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Michigan 2024 polls and results

President

Photo of Kamala Harris
DKamala Harris
48.5%
average of 31 polls · result 48.3%
Photo of Donald Trump
RDonald Trump
46.8%won
average of 31 polls · result 49.7%

Difference: 1.7 points Also: Jill Stein (G) 1.2%, Chase Oliver (L) 0.6%, Cornel West (I) 0.7%, Robert F. Kennedy (I) 2.0%, Randall A. Terry (CON) 0.0%, Joseph Kishore (I) 0.1%

Photos: Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Jill Stein, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Cornel West, DarrellNance, CC BY-SA 4.0; Robert F. Kennedy, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public domain; Randall A. Terry, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+1.7, corrected D+0.7 (±1.3) · 31 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04

Result: Donald Trump (R) 49.7% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 48.3%, Jill Stein (G) 0.8% · R+1.4. The plain poll average missed by 3.2 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
AtlasIntel2024-11-03 to 2024-11-041,113 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.6; Kamala Harris (D) 47.8; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 0.2R+1.85.8
AtlasIntel2024-11-03 to 2024-11-041,113 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.8; Kamala Harris (D) 48.3R+1.55.8
Research Co.2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03450 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47D+2.09.1
Patriot Polling2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03858 RVKamala Harris (D) 49.2; Donald Trump (R) 48.5D+0.76.6
Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned)2024-11-01 to 2024-11-031,079 LVDonald Trump (R) 47.8; Kamala Harris (D) 47.4R+0.45.8
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-021,198 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.3; Kamala Harris (D) 47.8; Jill Stein (G) 1.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0.4R+1.55.6
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-021,198 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.7; Kamala Harris (D) 48.2R+1.55.6
InsiderAdvantage2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02800 LVKamala Harris (D) 47.3; Donald Trump (R) 47.2D+0.16.7
Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02790 LVKamala Harris (D) 50.5; Donald Trump (R) 48.9D+1.67.0
AtlasIntel2024-10-30 to 2024-10-311,136 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.2; Kamala Harris (D) 48.3; Jill Stein (G) 1.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0.1R+0.95.7
AtlasIntel2024-10-30 to 2024-10-311,136 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.3; Kamala Harris (D) 48.7R+0.65.8
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02998 RVDonald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 44R+3.05.9
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02998 RVDonald Trump (R) 44; Kamala Harris (D) 42; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Cornel West (I) 1R+2.05.8
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02998 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47Tied6.0
The New York Times/Siena College2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02998 LVKamala Harris (D) 45; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Cornel West (I) 0Tied5.9
Mitchell Research & Communications for MIRS News Service | Michigan News Source2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02585 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 1; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 0D+1.08.0
Mitchell Research & Communications for MIRS News Service | Michigan News Source2024-10-29 to 2024-11-02585 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48D+2.08.0
OnMessage2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31800 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48Tied6.8
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-28 to 2024-10-311,731 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1Tied4.6
Mitchell Research & Communications for Michigan News Source2024-10-28 to 2024-10-29—Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+1.0—
Echelon Insights2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30600 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Cornel West (I) 0Tied7.8
Echelon Insights2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30600 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48Tied7.8
Marist College2024-10-27 to 2024-10-301,356 RVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 48D+3.05.3
Marist College2024-10-27 to 2024-10-301,214 LVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 48D+3.05.6
Quantus Insights for TrendingPolitics(REP-aligned)2024-10-26 to 2024-10-28844 LVKamala Harris (D) 49.2; Donald Trump (R) 48.5D+0.76.7
InsiderAdvantage2024-10-26 to 2024-10-27800 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.5; Kamala Harris (D) 47.9R+0.66.8
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02713 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47D+2.07.2
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02733 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46D+2.07.0
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31985 RVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 2; Cornel West (I) 0D+2.06.0
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31942 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 2; Cornel West (I) 0D+3.06.2
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31985 RVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 46D+4.06.1
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31942 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 47D+3.06.3
AtlasIntel2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29983 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.9; Jill Stein (G) 1.8; Chase Oliver (L) 0.2R+1.36.2
AtlasIntel2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29983 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.3; Kamala Harris (D) 48.1R+1.26.2
Emerson College for RealClearWorld2024-10-25 to 2024-10-271,000 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.8; Kamala Harris (D) 49.3R+0.56.2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-25 to 2024-10-27728 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0D+1.07.2
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28988 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 3; Cornel West (I) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0D+2.06.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,275 RVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 45; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 3; Cornel West (I) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0D+4.05.3
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28988 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49Tied6.2
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,275 RVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48D+2.05.4
The Washington Post2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,003 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 46D+1.06.0
The Washington Post2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,003 RVDonald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 45R+2.05.9
EPIC-MRA for Detroit Free Press2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28600 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 3; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 3; Cornel West (I) 1D+3.07.7
Suffolk University for USA Today2024-10-24 to 2024-10-27500 LVDonald Trump (R) 47.4; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1.4; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 1.4; Cornel West (I) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.2; Joseph Kishore (I) 0.2; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0R+0.48.5
Patriot Polling2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26796 RVDonald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49R+1.06.9
CNN/SSRS2024-10-23 to 2024-10-28726 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 43; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 3; Jill Stein (G) 2; Cornel West (I) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0D+5.06.9
Susquehanna Polling & Research2024-10-23 to 2024-10-27400 LVKamala Harris (D) 51.7; Donald Trump (R) 46.6D+5.19.7
Morning Consult2024-10-22 to 2024-10-311,108 LVKamala Harris (D) 48.5; Donald Trump (R) 47.5D+1.05.8
Glengariff Group for Detroit News | WDIV-TV2024-10-22 to 2024-10-24600 LVKamala Harris (D) 46.7; Donald Trump (R) 43.7; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 3.9; Jill Stein (G) 1.6; Chase Oliver (L) 1D+3.07.6
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-20 to 2024-10-221,115 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0Tied5.7
Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned)2024-10-18 to 2024-10-201,090 LVDonald Trump (R) 46; Kamala Harris (D) 44.2R+1.85.6
Quinnipiac University2024-10-17 to 2024-10-211,136 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 46; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0D+3.05.7
Quinnipiac University2024-10-17 to 2024-10-211,136 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 46D+4.05.7
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov2024-10-16 to 2024-10-24600 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 45; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0; Cornel West (I) 0; Joseph Kishore (I) 0D+4.07.8
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20756 RVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 45; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1D+2.06.8
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20756 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46D+2.06.9
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20705 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1D+3.07.2
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20705 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 46D+4.07.2
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-16 to 2024-10-181,008 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0Tied6.0
AtlasIntel2024-10-12 to 2024-10-171,529 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.6; Kamala Harris (D) 46.8; Jill Stein (G) 1.1; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 0.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0.2; Cornel West (I) 0.1R+2.84.9
AtlasIntel2024-10-12 to 2024-10-171,529 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.3R+2.95.0
The Bullfinch Group2024-10-11 to 2024-10-17600 LVKamala Harris (D) 53; Donald Trump (R) 45D+8.07.9
The Bullfinch Group2024-10-11 to 2024-10-17600 LVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 43D+8.07.7
RMG Research for Napolitan News Service2024-10-10 to 2024-10-16789 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49Tied6.9
ActiVote2024-10-08 to 2024-11-02400 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.3; Kamala Harris (D) 49.7R+0.69.8
Morning Consult2024-10-06 to 2024-10-151,065 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47D+2.05.9
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-012,092 AKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 44; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1D+6.04.2
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-011,941 RVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 44; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1D+7.04.3
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-012,092 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 45; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1D+5.04.2
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-252,347 AKamala Harris (D) 52; Donald Trump (R) 45D+7.04.0
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-252,336 LVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 46D+5.04.0
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15687 RVDonald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+1.07.2
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15687 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47D+2.07.3