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Michigan 2024 polls and results

District 1

Photo of Jack Bergman
RJack Bergman
59.1%won
result (not polled)
DCallie Barr
37.9%
result (not polled)

Difference: 21.2 points Also: Liz Hakola (WCP) 1.8%, Andrew Gale (L) 1.1%

Photos: Jack Bergman, U.S. Secretary of War, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Jack Bergman (R) 59.1% ✓, Callie Barr (D) 37.9%, Liz Hakola (WCP) 1.8% · R+21.2.

District 2

Photo of John Moolenaar
RJohn Moolenaar
65.1%won
result (not polled)
DMichael Lynch
31.7%
result (not polled)

Difference: 33.5 points Also: Ben DeJong (L) 1.6%, Scott Adams (UST) 1.5%

Photos: John Moolenaar, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: John Moolenaar (R) 65.1% ✓, Michael Lynch (D) 31.7%, Ben DeJong (L) 1.6% · R+33.5.

District 3

Photo of Hillary Scholten
DHillary Scholten
53.7%won
result (not polled)
RPaul Hudson
43.8%
result (not polled)

Difference: 9.9 points Also: Louis Palus (UST) 1.3%, Alex Avery (L) 1.3%

Photos: Hillary Scholten, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Hillary Scholten (D) 53.7% ✓, Paul Hudson (R) 43.8%, Louis Palus (UST) 1.3% · D+9.9.

District 4

Photo of Bill Huizenga
RBill Huizenga
55.1%won
result (not polled)
DJessica Swartz
43.4%
result (not polled)

Difference: 11.7 points Also: Curtis Michael Clark (UST) 1.6%

Photos: Bill Huizenga, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Bill Huizenga (R) 55.1% ✓, Jessica Swartz (D) 43.4%, Curtis Michael Clark (UST) 1.6% · R+11.7.

District 5

Photo of Tim Walberg
RTim Walberg
65.7%won
result (not polled)
DLibbi Urban
32.8%
result (not polled)

Difference: 32.9 points Also: James Bronke (G) 1.6%

Photos: Tim Walberg, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Tim Walberg (R) 65.7% ✓, Libbi Urban (D) 32.8%, James Bronke (G) 1.6% · R+32.9.

District 6

Photo of Debbie Dingell
DDebbie Dingell
62.0%won
result (not polled)
RHeather Smiley
35.0%
result (not polled)

Difference: 27.0 points Also: Clyde K. Shabazz (G) 1.8%, Bill Krebaum (L) 1.2%

Photos: Debbie Dingell, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Debbie Dingell (D) 62.0% ✓, Heather Smiley (R) 35.0%, Clyde K. Shabazz (G) 1.8% · D+27.0.

District 7

Photo of Tom Barrett
RTom Barrett
47.3%won
average of 1 poll · result 50.3%
DCurtis Hertel
44.8%
average of 1 poll · result 46.6%

Difference: 2.5 points Also: Leah Rachel Dailey (L) 1.4%

Photos: Tom Barrett, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+2.5, corrected R+5.2 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-26

Result: Tom Barrett (R) 50.3% ✓, Curtis Hertel (D) 46.6%, Leah Rachel Dailey (L) 3.2% · R+3.7. The plain poll average missed by 1.2 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin
Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26535 LVTom Barrett (R) 47.3; Curtis Hertel (D) 44.8; Leah Rachel Dailey (L) 1.4R+2.5

District 8

RPaul Junge
41.0%
average of 1 poll · result 44.6%
Photo of Kristen McDonald Rivet
DKristen McDonald Rivet
40.0%won
average of 1 poll · result 51.3%

Difference: 1.0 points

Photos: Kristen McDonald Rivet, Ike Hayman, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+1.0, corrected D+1.2 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-15

Result: Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) 51.3% ✓, Paul Junge (R) 44.6%, Kathy Goodwin (WCP) 2.0% · D+6.6. The plain poll average missed by 7.6 points toward the Republican.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin
NMB Research for NRCC(REP-aligned)2024-10-13 to 2024-10-15400 LVPaul Junge (R) 41; Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) 40R+1.0

District 9

Photo of Lisa McClain
RLisa McClain
66.8%won
result (not polled)
DClinton St. Mosley
29.5%
result (not polled)

Difference: 37.3 points Also: Jim Walkowicz (WCP) 2.6%, Kevin Vayko (L) 1.1%

Photos: Lisa McClain, Office of Congresswoman Lisa McClain, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Lisa McClain (R) 66.8% ✓, Clinton St. Mosley (D) 29.5%, Jim Walkowicz (WCP) 2.6% · R+37.3.

District 10

Photo of John James
RJohn James
47.2%won
average of 2 polls · result 51.1%
DCarl J. Marlinga
45.3%
average of 2 polls · result 45.0%

Difference: 1.9 points Also: Mike Saliba (L) 1.2%

Photos: John James, United States Congress, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+1.9, corrected R+1.9 · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-10-18

Result: John James (R) 51.1% ✓, Carl J. Marlinga (D) 45.0%, Andrea Kirby (WCP) 2.6% · R+6.1. The plain poll average missed by 4.2 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department(DEM-aligned)2024-10-15 to 2024-10-18388 LVCarl J. Marlinga (D) 47; John James (R) 47Tied
Glengariff Group for Detroit News | WDIV-TV2024-10-14 to 2024-10-16400 LVJohn James (R) 47.4; Carl J. Marlinga (D) 43.6; Andrea Kirby (OTH) 1.7; Mike Saliba (L) 1.2R+3.8

District 11

Photo of Haley Stevens
DHaley Stevens
58.2%won
result (not polled)
RNick Somberg
39.6%
result (not polled)

Difference: 18.6 points Also: Douglas Campbell (G) 2.2%

Photos: Haley Stevens, Phi Nguyen, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Haley Stevens (D) 58.2% ✓, Nick Somberg (R) 39.6%, Douglas Campbell (G) 2.2% · D+18.6.

District 12

Photo of Rashida Tlaib
DRashida Tlaib
69.7%won
result (not polled)
RJames D. Hooper
25.4%
result (not polled)

Difference: 44.3 points Also: Gary Walkowicz (WCP) 2.6%, Brenda K. Sanders (G) 2.3%

Photos: Rashida Tlaib, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Rashida Tlaib (D) 69.7% ✓, James D. Hooper (R) 25.4%, Gary Walkowicz (WCP) 2.6% · D+44.3.

District 13

Photo of Shri Thanedar
DShri Thanedar
68.6%won
result (not polled)
RMartell D. Bivings
24.5%
result (not polled)

Difference: 44.1 points Also: Simone Coleman (WCP) 4.2%, Christopher Clark (L) 1.8%, Christopher Dardzinski (UST) 0.9%

Photos: Shri Thanedar, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Shri Thanedar (D) 68.6% ✓, Martell D. Bivings (R) 24.5%, Simone Coleman (WCP) 4.2% · D+44.1.