U.S. Senate
DPeggy Flanagan
46.6%
average of 5 polls
RMichele Tafoya
43.2%
average of 5 polls
Difference: 3.4 points
Photos: Peggy Flanagan, Office of Governor Tim Walz & Lt. Governor Peggy Flanagan, Public domain; Michele Tafoya, Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+3.4, corrected D+3.9 · 5 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-21
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports(R-aligned) | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-21 | 1,182 LV | Peggy Flanagan (D) 48; Michele Tafoya (R) 45; Undecided (UND) 7 | D+3.0 |
| Trafalgar Group(R-aligned) | 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-15 | 1,079 LV | Peggy Flanagan (D) 48; Michele Tafoya (R) 45; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 5 | D+3.0 |
| SurveyUSA for SurveyUSA | 2026-10-08 to 2026-10-12 | 718 LV | Peggy Flanagan (D) 45; Michele Tafoya (R) 42; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 9 | D+3.0 |
| Rasmussen Reports(D-aligned) | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07 | 856 LV | Peggy Flanagan (D) 48; Michele Tafoya (R) 45; Undecided (UND) 7 | D+3.0 |
| Mason-Dixon | 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07 | 800 LV | Peggy Flanagan (D) 47; Michele Tafoya (R) 43; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 9 | D+4.0 |
| Morning Consult(D-aligned) | 2026-10-02 to 2026-10-07 | 1,000 RV | Peggy Flanagan (D) 45; Michele Tafoya (R) 41; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 12 | D+4.0 |