President


Difference: 1.0 points Also: Jill Stein (G) 0.9%, Chase Oliver (L) 0.7%, Cornel West (I) 0.6%, Randall A. Terry (CON) 0.0%
Photos: Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Jill Stein, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Cornel West, DarrellNance, CC BY-SA 4.0; Randall A. Terry, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+0.9, corrected R+1.8 (±1.4) · 21 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04
Result: Donald Trump (R) 50.9% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 47.6% · R+3.2. The plain poll average missed by 2.3 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 1,219 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.8; Kamala Harris (D) 47.6; Jill Stein (G) 0.5; Chase Oliver (L) 0.2 | R+2.2 | 5.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 1,219 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 47.9 | R+2.1 | 5.5 |
| Patriot Polling | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 799 RV | Donald Trump (R) 50.5; Kamala Harris (D) 48.9 | R+1.6 | 6.9 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 1,310 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.4; Kamala Harris (D) 46.8; Jill Stein (G) 0.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0.3 | R+3.6 | 5.3 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 1,310 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.5; Kamala Harris (D) 47.1 | R+3.4 | 5.3 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.4; Kamala Harris (D) 47.2 | R+2.2 | 6.8 |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02 | 860 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.7; Kamala Harris (D) 49.3 | R+0.4 | 6.7 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 1,373 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.7; Kamala Harris (D) 46.7; Jill Stein (G) 0.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0.3 | R+4.0 | 5.2 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 1,373 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.7; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+3.7 | 5.2 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 44 | D+4.0 | 5.9 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 43; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0; Cornel West (I) 0 | D+4.0 | 5.8 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+2.0 | 6.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 0; Cornel West (I) 0; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | D+3.0 | 5.9 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31 | 1,123 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+1.0 | 5.7 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 987 RV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 0 | R+1.0 | 6.1 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 949 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 0 | R+1.0 | 6.3 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 987 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49 | Tied | 6.2 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 949 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49 | R+1.0 | 6.3 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,665 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48.5; Donald Trump (R) 48.4; Jill Stein (G) 0.8; Chase Oliver (L) 0.4 | D+0.1 | 4.7 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,665 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48.9; Donald Trump (R) 48.4 | D+0.5 | 4.7 |
| Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-28 | 1,091 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.4; Kamala Harris (D) 46.2 | R+3.2 | 5.8 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-27 | 770 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+2.0 | 6.8 |
| East Carolina University Center for Survey Research | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-29 | 1,250 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.3; Kamala Harris (D) 48.3; Chase Oliver (L) 0.4; Jill Stein (G) 0.4; Cornel West (I) 0.1 | R+2.0 | 5.5 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28 | 872 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Cornel West (I) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | R+2.0 | 6.5 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28 | 1,113 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47; Cornel West (I) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | D+1.0 | 5.7 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28 | 872 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49 | R+1.0 | 6.6 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News | 2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28 | 1,113 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 49 | D+1.0 | 5.8 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-23 to 2024-11-01 | 1,056 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.4 | R+1.8 | 5.9 |
| CNN/SSRS | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-28 | 750 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47; Cornel West (I) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | D+1.0 | 7.0 |
| SurveyUSA for WRAL News | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 | 853 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47 | Tied | 6.5 |
| Emerson College for RealClearWorld | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-22 | 950 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.2; Kamala Harris (D) 48.2 | R+2.0 | 6.3 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-20 to 2024-10-22 | 679 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+1.0 | 7.3 |
| SoCal Strategies for On Point Politics | Red Eagle Politics(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-20 to 2024-10-21 | 702 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.7; Kamala Harris (D) 46.3 | R+2.4 | 7.2 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-20 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.7; Kamala Harris (D) 46.8 | R+1.9 | 6.8 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-17 to 2024-11-02 | 400 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50.6; Kamala Harris (D) 49.4 | R+1.2 | 9.8 |
| Marist College | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-22 | 1,410 RV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+1.0 | 5.1 |
| Marist College | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-22 | 1,226 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+2.0 | 5.5 |
| SurveyUSA for High Point University | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-20 | 1,164 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+1.0 | 5.5 |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-23 | 650 LV | Donald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 45; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0 | R+2.0 | 7.4 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 755 RV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 3; Jill Stein (G) 1 | R+3.0 | 7.0 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 755 RV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+3.0 | 7.0 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 702 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1 | R+1.0 | 7.3 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 702 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+2.0 | 7.3 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-18 | 843 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 45; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+3.0 | 6.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 1,674 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49.5; Donald Trump (R) 48.8; Jill Stein (G) 1.1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.1; Cornel West (I) 0.1 | D+0.7 | 4.8 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 1,674 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50.5; Donald Trump (R) 48.8 | D+1.7 | 4.8 |
| Elon University | 2024-10-10 to 2024-10-17 | 800 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 46; Donald Trump (R) 46 | Tied | 6.7 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 1,072 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+1.0 | 5.9 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,987 A | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | D+2.0 | 4.3 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,785 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | D+4.0 | 4.5 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,987 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | Tied | 4.3 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 2,330 A | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+1.0 | 4.0 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 2,308 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+2.0 | 4.0 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 965 RV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 45 | R+4.0 | 6.1 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 965 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+3.0 | 6.2 |