District 1 no polls
Predicted D+28.5: the 2024 result (D+17.8) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
New Jersey 2026 polls
District 2
RJeff Van Drew
50.0%
average of 1 poll
DZack Mullock
40.0%
average of 1 poll
Difference: 10.0 points
Photos: Jeff Van Drew, US Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average R+10.0, corrected R+10.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-10
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research for House Majority PAC(D-aligned) | 2026-10-07 to 2026-10-10 | — | Jeff Van Drew (R) 50; Zack Mullock (D) 40; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+10.0 | — |
District 3 no polls
Predicted D+19.3: the 2024 result (D+8.6) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 4 no polls
Predicted R+25.1: the 2024 result (R+35.7) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 5 no polls
Predicted D+22.0: the 2024 result (D+11.3) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 6 no polls
Predicted D+26.4: the 2024 result (D+15.7) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 7 no polls
Predicted D+5.3: the 2024 result (R+5.4) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 64% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 8 no polls
Predicted D+35.2: the 2024 result (D+24.5) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 9 no polls
Predicted D+15.6: the 2024 result (D+4.9) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 10 no polls
Predicted D+62.9: the 2024 result (D+52.2) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 11 no polls
Predicted D+25.4: the 2024 result (D+14.7) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 12 no polls
Predicted D+35.4: the 2024 result (D+24.8) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).