New Mexico 2024 polls and results

District 1

DMelanie Ann Stansbury

53.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 56.4%

RSteve Jones

36.0%

average of 1 poll · result 43.6%

Difference: 17.0 points

Photos: Melanie Ann Stansbury, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+17.0, corrected D+18.0 (±9.6) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-18

Result: Melanie Ann Stansbury (D) 56.4% ✓, Steve Jones (R) 43.6% · D+12.7. The plain poll average missed by 4.3 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Research & Polling for Albuquerque Journal	2024-10-10 to 2024-10-18	360 LV	Melanie Ann Stansbury (D) 53; Steve Jones (R) 36	D+17.0	9.6

District 2

DGabriel Vasquez

49.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 52.1%

RYvette Herrell

45.0%

average of 1 poll · result 47.9%

Difference: 4.0 points

Photos: Gabriel Vasquez, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work); Yvette Herrell, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+4.0, corrected D+5.0 (±9.3) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-18within the margin of error

Result: Gabriel Vasquez (D) 52.1% ✓, Yvette Herrell (R) 47.9% · D+4.2. The plain poll average missed by 0.2 points toward the Republican.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Research & Polling for Albuquerque Journal	2024-10-10 to 2024-10-18	414 LV	Gabriel Vasquez (D) 49; Yvette Herrell (R) 45	D+4.0	9.3

District 3

DTeresa Leger Fernandez

52.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 56.3%

RSharon E. Clahchischilliage

35.0%

average of 1 poll · result 43.7%

Difference: 17.0 points

Photos: Teresa Leger Fernandez, House Creative Committee, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+17.0, corrected D+18.0 (±9.7) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-18

Result: Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) 56.3% ✓, Sharon E. Clahchischilliage (R) 43.7% · D+12.6. The plain poll average missed by 4.4 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Research & Polling for Albuquerque Journal	2024-10-10 to 2024-10-18	344 LV	Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) 52; Sharon E. Clahchischilliage (R) 35	D+17.0	9.7