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New Mexico 2024 polls and results

U.S. Senate

Photo of Martin Heinrich
DMartin Heinrich
50.6%won
average of 2 polls · result 55.1%
RNella Louise Domenici
44.2%
average of 2 polls · result 44.9%

Difference: 6.4 points

Photos: Martin Heinrich, United States Senate, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+6.3, corrected D+6.8 (±4.9) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-03

Result: Martin Heinrich (D) 55.1% ✓, Nella Louise Domenici (R) 44.9% · D+10.1. The plain poll average missed by 3.8 points toward the Republican.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Victory Insights2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03600 LVMartin Heinrich (D) 50.2; Nella Louise Domenici (R) 48.5D+1.78.0
Research & Polling for Albuquerque Journal2024-10-10 to 2024-10-181,024 LVMartin Heinrich (D) 51; Nella Louise Domenici (R) 40D+11.05.8