U.S. Senate
DJacky S. Rosen
49.1%won
average of 15 polls · result 47.9%
RSam Brown
43.6%
average of 15 polls · result 46.2%
Difference: 5.5 points Also: Janine Hansen (IAP) 1.2%, Chris Cunningham (L) 0.8%
Photos: Jacky S. Rosen, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+5.6, corrected D+4.5 · 15 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04
Result: Jacky S. Rosen (D) 47.9% ✓, Sam Brown (R) 46.2%, Janine Hansen (IAP) 1.5% · D+1.6. The plain poll average missed by 3.9 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 707 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 48.2; Sam Brown (R) 42.7 | D+5.5 |
| Patriot Polling | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 792 RV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 51; Sam Brown (R) 47.9 | D+3.1 |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02 | 840 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 49.8; Sam Brown (R) 44 | D+5.8 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 845 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 47.3; Sam Brown (R) 45.4 | D+1.9 |
| Emerson College for RealClearWorld | 2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31 | 700 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 48.6; Sam Brown (R) 44.9 | D+3.7 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31 | 400 LV | Sam Brown (R) 47; Jacky S. Rosen (D) 46.2 | R+0.8 |
| Noble Predictive Insights | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31 | 593 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 48; Sam Brown (R) 46; Chris Cunningham (L) 1; Janine Hansen (IAP) 1 | D+2.0 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 790 RV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 51; Sam Brown (R) 44 | D+7.0 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 753 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 51; Sam Brown (R) 44 | D+7.0 |
| Data for Progress | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-30 | 721 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 49; Sam Brown (R) 42; Janine Hansen (IAP) 2; Chris Cunningham (L) 0 | D+7.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,083 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 48.9; Sam Brown (R) 44.2 | D+4.7 |
| Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-28 | 1,082 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 46.7; Sam Brown (R) 44.8 | D+1.9 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-24 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 RV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 52; Sam Brown (R) 40 | D+12.0 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-24 to 2024-11-02 | 1,010 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 52; Sam Brown (R) 43 | D+9.0 |
| CNN/SSRS | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-26 | 683 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 50; Sam Brown (R) 41 | D+9.0 |
| OnMessage for Senate Opportunity Fund(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-22 | 600 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 48; Sam Brown (R) 48; Chris Cunningham (L) 1; Janine Hansen (IAP) 1 | Tied |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-20 | 800 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 48.2; Sam Brown (R) 43.9 | D+4.3 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-18 | 529 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 48; Sam Brown (R) 41; Chris Cunningham (L) 1; Janine Hansen (IAP) 1 | D+7.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 1,171 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 47.1; Sam Brown (R) 43 | D+4.1 |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research for AARP | 2024-10-08 to 2024-10-15 | 600 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 49; Sam Brown (R) 44 | D+5.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 496 LV | Jacky S. Rosen (D) 52; Sam Brown (R) 37 | D+15.0 |