District 1 no polls
Predicted D+6.0: the 2024 result (R+4.7) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 64% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
New York 2026 polls
District 2 no polls
Predicted R+4.2: the 2024 result (R+14.9) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 53% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 3 no polls
Predicted D+17.4: the 2024 result (D+6.7) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 4 no polls
Predicted D+16.2: the 2024 result (D+5.6) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 5 no polls
Predicted D+58.9: the 2024 result (D+48.2) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 6 no polls
Predicted D+36.1: the 2024 result (D+25.4) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 7 no polls
Predicted D+41.5: the 2024 result (D+30.8) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 8 no polls
Predicted D+64.1: the 2024 result (D+53.5) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 9 no polls
Predicted D+62.3: the 2024 result (D+51.6) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 10 no polls
Predicted D+76.9: the 2024 result (D+66.3) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 11 no polls
Predicted R+12.1: the 2024 result (R+22.7) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 12 no polls
Predicted D+66.3: the 2024 result (D+55.6) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 13 no polls
Predicted D+79.1: the 2024 result (D+68.4) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 14 no polls
Predicted D+44.1: the 2024 result (D+33.4) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 15 no polls
Predicted D+67.9: the 2024 result (D+57.2) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 16 no polls
Predicted D+53.7: the 2024 result (D+43.0) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 17
DCait Conley
48.0%
average of 1 poll
RMike Lawler
46.0%
average of 1 poll
Difference: 2.0 points
Plain average D+2.0, corrected D+2.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-23
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedBox Research(D-aligned) | 2026-10-20 to 2026-10-23 | 726 LV | Mike Lawler (R) 46; Cait Conley (D) 48; Undecided (UND) 6 | D+2.0 |
District 18 no polls
Predicted D+24.7: the 2024 result (D+14.1) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 19 no polls
Predicted D+12.3: the 2024 result (D+1.6) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 20 no polls
Predicted D+32.0: the 2024 result (D+21.3) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 21
RAnthony Constantino
46.0%
average of 1 poll
DBlake Gendebien
44.0%
average of 1 poll
Difference: 2.0 points
Plain average R+2.0, corrected R+3.7 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-13
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC(D-aligned) | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-13 | 613 LV | Anthony Constantino (R) 46; Blake Gendebien (D) 44; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+2.0 |
District 22 no polls
Predicted D+20.9: the 2024 result (D+10.2) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 23 no polls
Predicted R+12.1: the 2024 result (R+22.8) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 24 no polls
Predicted R+12.6: the 2024 result (R+23.3) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 25 no polls
Predicted D+27.1: the 2024 result (D+16.4) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 26 no polls
Predicted D+40.4: the 2024 result (D+29.8) plus the national swing (D+10.7).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).