District 1 no polls
Predicted D+5.3: the 2024 result (R+4.7) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 64% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
New York 2026 polls
District 2 no polls
Predicted R+4.9: the 2024 result (R+14.9) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 53% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 3 no polls
Predicted D+16.6: the 2024 result (D+6.7) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 4 no polls
Predicted D+15.5: the 2024 result (D+5.6) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 5 no polls
Predicted D+58.1: the 2024 result (D+48.2) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 6 no polls
Predicted D+35.4: the 2024 result (D+25.4) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 7 no polls
Predicted D+40.7: the 2024 result (D+30.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 8 no polls
Predicted D+63.4: the 2024 result (D+53.5) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 9 no polls
Predicted D+61.6: the 2024 result (D+51.6) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 10 no polls
Predicted D+76.2: the 2024 result (D+66.3) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 11 no polls
Predicted R+12.8: the 2024 result (R+22.7) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 12 no polls
Predicted D+65.5: the 2024 result (D+55.6) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 13 no polls
Predicted D+78.3: the 2024 result (D+68.4) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 14 no polls
Predicted D+43.3: the 2024 result (D+33.4) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 15 no polls
Predicted D+67.1: the 2024 result (D+57.2) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 16 no polls
Predicted D+52.9: the 2024 result (D+43.0) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 17 no polls
Predicted D+8.1: the 2024 result (R+1.9) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 64% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 18 no polls
Predicted D+24.0: the 2024 result (D+14.1) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 19 no polls
Predicted D+11.5: the 2024 result (D+1.6) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 20 no polls
Predicted D+31.2: the 2024 result (D+21.3) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 21
DBlake Gendebien
45.0%
average of 2 polls
RAnthony Constantino
44.0%
average of 2 polls
Difference: 1.0 points
Plain average D+1.0, corrected D+0.9 (±5.6) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-13within the margin of error
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC(D-aligned) | 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-13 | 613 LV | Anthony Constantino (R) 46; Blake Gendebien (D) 44; Undecided (UND) 10 | R+2.0 | 7.5 |
| Siena College(D-aligned) | 2026-09-30 to 2026-10-06 | 496 LV | Anthony Constantino (R) 42; Blake Gendebien (D) 46; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 7 | D+4.0 | 8.3 |
District 22 no polls
Predicted D+20.1: the 2024 result (D+10.2) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 23 no polls
Predicted R+12.8: the 2024 result (R+22.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 24 no polls
Predicted R+13.4: the 2024 result (R+23.3) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 88% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 25 no polls
Predicted D+26.4: the 2024 result (D+16.4) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).
District 26 no polls
Predicted D+39.7: the 2024 result (D+29.8) plus the national swing (D+9.9).
In past midterms, predictions this close went that way 100% of the time. A prediction, not a poll (E006).