New York 2024 polls and results

District 1

RNicholas J. LaLota

47.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 55.2%

DJohn P. Avlon

44.0%

average of 1 poll · result 44.8%

Difference: 3.0 points

Plain average R+3.0, corrected D+2.0 (±8.2) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-17within the margin of error

Result: Nicholas J. LaLota (R) 55.2% ✓, John P. Avlon (D) 44.8% · R+10.4. The plain poll average missed by 7.4 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Siena College for Newsday	2024-10-13 to 2024-10-17	526 LV	Nicholas J. LaLota (R) 47; John P. Avlon (D) 44	R+3.0	8.2

District 2

RAndrew R. Garbarino

59.7%won

result (not polled)

DRob Lubin

40.2%

result (not polled)

Difference: 19.5 points

Photos: Andrew R. Garbarino, Franmarie Metzler, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Andrew R. Garbarino (R) 59.7% ✓, Rob Lubin (D) 40.2% · R+19.5.

District 3

DThomas R. Suozzi

53.9%won

result (not polled)

RMazi Melesa Pilip

45.9%

result (not polled)

Difference: 8.0 points

Photos: Thomas R. Suozzi, Österreichisches Außenministerium (BMEIA/ Michael Gruber), CC BY 4.0; Mazi Melesa Pilip, Rep. Anthony D'Esposito, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Thomas R. Suozzi (D) 53.9% ✓, Mazi Melesa Pilip (R) 45.9% · D+8.0.

District 3

DThomas R. Suozzi

51.7%won

result (not polled)

RMichael J. LiPetri Jr.

48.1%

result (not polled)

Difference: 3.6 points

Photos: Thomas R. Suozzi, Österreichisches Außenministerium (BMEIA/ Michael Gruber), CC BY 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Thomas R. Suozzi (D) 51.7% ✓, Michael J. LiPetri Jr. (R) 48.1% · D+3.6.

District 4

DLaura A. Gillen

49.0%won

average of 2 polls · result 51.1%

RAnthony P. D'Esposito

43.5%

average of 2 polls · result 48.8%

Difference: 5.5 points

Photos: Laura A. Gillen, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work); Anthony P. D'Esposito, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+5.5, corrected D+8.0 (±5.3) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-10-19

Result: Laura A. Gillen (D) 51.1% ✓, Anthony P. D'Esposito (R) 48.8% · D+2.3. The plain poll average missed by 3.2 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Siena College for Newsday	2024-10-13 to 2024-10-17	532 LV	Laura A. Gillen (D) 53; Anthony P. D'Esposito (R) 41	D+12.0	8.2
Gotham Polling & Analytics	2024-10-11 to 2024-10-19	734 LV	Anthony P. D'Esposito (R) 46; Laura A. Gillen (D) 45	R+1.0	6.9

District 5

DGregory W. Meeks

72.7%won

result (not polled)

RPaul King

27.0%

result (not polled)

Difference: 45.7 points

Photos: Gregory W. Meeks, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Gregory W. Meeks (D) 72.7% ✓, Paul King (R) 27.0% · D+45.7.

District 6

DGrace Meng

60.5%won

result (not polled)

RThomas Zmich

37.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 23.0 points Also: Joseph Chou (OTH) 1.6%

Photos: Grace Meng, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Grace Meng (D) 60.5% ✓, Thomas Zmich (R) 37.5%, Joseph Chou (OTH) 1.6% · D+23.0.

District 7

DNydia M. Velazquez

69.6%won

result (not polled)

RWilliam Kregler

30.1%

result (not polled)

Difference: 39.4 points

Photos: Nydia M. Velazquez, US House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Nydia M. Velazquez (D) 69.6% ✓, William Kregler (R) 30.1% · D+39.4.

District 8

DHakeem Jeffries

75.1%won

result (not polled)

RJohn Delaney

24.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 50.6 points

Photos: Hakeem Jeffries, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Hakeem Jeffries (D) 75.1% ✓, John Delaney (R) 24.5% · D+50.6.

District 9

DYvette D. Clarke

73.5%won

result (not polled)

RMenachem M. Raitport

25.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 48.0 points

Photos: Yvette D. Clarke, United States Congress., Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Yvette D. Clarke (D) 73.5% ✓, Menachem M. Raitport (R) 25.5% · D+48.0.

District 10

DDaniel Goldman

81.0%won

result (not polled)

RAlexander Dodenhoff

14.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 66.3 points Also: Paul Briscoe (CRV) 2.6%

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Daniel Goldman (D) 81.0% ✓, Alexander Dodenhoff (R) 14.8%, Paul Briscoe (CRV) 2.6% · D+66.3.

District 11

RNicole Malliotakis

63.8%won

result (not polled)

DAndrea Morse

35.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 28.1 points

Photos: Nicole Malliotakis, Paulmarronejr, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Nicole Malliotakis (R) 63.8% ✓, Andrea Morse (D) 35.8% · R+28.1.

District 12

DJerry Nadler

80.3%won

result (not polled)

RMike Zumbluskas

19.4%

result (not polled)

Difference: 60.9 points

Photos: Jerry Nadler, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Jerry Nadler (D) 80.3% ✓, Mike Zumbluskas (R) 19.4% · D+60.9.

District 13

DAdriano Espaillat

83.0%won

result (not polled)

RRuben D. Vargas

16.4%

result (not polled)

Difference: 66.7 points

Photos: Adriano Espaillat, US House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Adriano Espaillat (D) 83.0% ✓, Ruben D. Vargas (R) 16.4% · D+66.7.

District 14

DAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez

68.9%won

result (not polled)

RTina Forte

30.7%

result (not polled)

Difference: 38.2 points

Photos: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Franmarie Metzler; U.S. House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D) 68.9% ✓, Tina Forte (R) 30.7% · D+38.2.

District 15

DRitchie Torres

76.2%won

result (not polled)

RGonzalo Duran

21.1%

result (not polled)

Difference: 55.2 points Also: Jose David Vega (OTH) 2.4%

Photos: Ritchie Torres, SAGE from New York City, USA, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Ritchie Torres (D) 76.2% ✓, Gonzalo Duran (R) 21.1%, Jose David Vega (OTH) 2.4% · D+55.2.

District 16

DGeorge S. Latimer

71.3%won

result (not polled)

RMiriam Levitt Flisser

28.3%

result (not polled)

Difference: 43.0 points

Photos: George S. Latimer, Nate Payne, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: George S. Latimer (D) 71.3% ✓, Miriam Levitt Flisser (R) 28.3% · D+43.0.

District 17

RMike Lawler

48.6%won

average of 1 poll · result 52.1%

DMondaire L. Jones

44.0%

average of 1 poll · result 45.8%

Difference: 4.6 points

Photos: Mike Lawler, New York State Young Republicans, CC BY 2.0; Mondaire L. Jones, House Creative Committee, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average R+4.6, corrected R+7.3 (±8.6) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-26within the margin of error

Result: Mike Lawler (R) 52.1% ✓, Mondaire L. Jones (D) 45.8%, Anthony Frascone (WFP) 2.0% · R+6.3. The plain poll average missed by 1.7 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Emerson College for The Hill \| PIX 11	2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26	475 LV	Mike Lawler (R) 48.6; Mondaire L. Jones (D) 44; Anthony Frascone (OTH) 0.8	R+4.6	8.6

District 18

DPat Ryan

51.3%won

average of 1 poll · result 57.1%

RAlison Esposito

41.6%

average of 1 poll · result 42.8%

Difference: 9.7 points

Photos: Alison Esposito, New York State Young Republicans, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+9.7, corrected D+7.0 (±8.9) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-26within the margin of error

Result: Pat Ryan (D) 57.1% ✓, Alison Esposito (R) 42.8% · D+14.3. The plain poll average missed by 4.6 points toward the Republican.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Emerson College for The Hill \| PIX 11	2024-10-24 to 2024-10-26	450 LV	Pat Ryan (D) 51.3; Alison Esposito (R) 41.6	D+9.7	8.9

District 19

DJosh Riley

46.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 51.0%

RMarcus Molinaro

42.0%

average of 1 poll · result 48.8%

Difference: 4.0 points

Photos: Josh Riley, House Creative Services, Public domain; Marcus Molinaro, Theodore Stephan, photographer, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+4.0, corrected D+4.8 (±7.8) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-16within the margin of error

Result: Josh Riley (D) 51.0% ✓, Marcus Molinaro (R) 48.8% · D+2.2. The plain poll average missed by 1.8 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
SurveyUSA for WNYT-TV	2024-10-11 to 2024-10-16	561 LV	Josh Riley (D) 46; Marcus Molinaro (R) 42	D+4.0	7.8

District 20

DPaul D. Tonko

60.1%won

result (not polled)

RKevin M. Waltz

39.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 20.3 points

Photos: Paul D. Tonko, U.S. Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Paul D. Tonko (D) 60.1% ✓, Kevin M. Waltz (R) 39.8% · D+20.3.

District 21

RElise M. Stefanik

62.0%won

result (not polled)

DPaula Collins

38.0%

result (not polled)

Difference: 24.0 points

Photos: Elise M. Stefanik, United States House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Elise M. Stefanik (R) 62.0% ✓, Paula Collins (D) 38.0% · R+24.0.

District 22

RBrandon M. Williams

46.0%

average of 1 poll · result 45.4%

DJohn W. Mannion

46.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 54.5%

Difference: 0.0 points

Photos: Brandon M. Williams, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work); John W. Mannion, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average Tied, corrected D+3.2 (±9.4) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-17within the margin of error

Result: John W. Mannion (D) 54.5% ✓, Brandon M. Williams (R) 45.4% · D+9.1. The plain poll average missed by 9.1 points toward the Republican.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
McLaughlin & Associates(REP-aligned)	2024-10-15 to 2024-10-17	400 LV	John W. Mannion (D) 46; Brandon M. Williams (R) 46	Tied	9.4

District 23

RNicholas A. Langworthy

65.8%won

result (not polled)

DThomas A. Carle

34.2%

result (not polled)

Difference: 31.6 points

Photos: Nicholas A. Langworthy, Langworthy.House.Gov, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Nicholas A. Langworthy (R) 65.8% ✓, Thomas A. Carle (D) 34.2% · R+31.6.

District 24

RClaudia Tenney

65.6%won

result (not polled)

DDavid Wagenhauser

34.3%

result (not polled)

Difference: 31.3 points

Photos: Claudia Tenney, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Claudia Tenney (R) 65.6% ✓, David Wagenhauser (D) 34.3% · R+31.3.

District 25

DJoseph D. Morelle

60.8%won

result (not polled)

RGregg A. Sadwick

39.1%

result (not polled)

Difference: 21.6 points

Photos: Joseph D. Morelle, United States Congress, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Joseph D. Morelle (D) 60.8% ✓, Gregg A. Sadwick (R) 39.1% · D+21.6.

District 26

DTimothy M. Kennedy

68.5%won

result (not polled)

RGary Dickson

31.3%

result (not polled)

Difference: 37.1 points

Photos: Timothy M. Kennedy, Metropolitan Transportation Authority of the State of New York from United States of America, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Timothy M. Kennedy (D) 68.5% ✓, Gary Dickson (R) 31.3% · D+37.1.

District 26

DTimothy M. Kennedy

65.1%won

result (not polled)

RAnthony G. Marecki

34.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 30.3 points

Photos: Timothy M. Kennedy, Metropolitan Transportation Authority of the State of New York from United States of America, CC BY 2.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Timothy M. Kennedy (D) 65.1% ✓, Anthony G. Marecki (R) 34.8% · D+30.3.