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Pennsylvania 2024 polls and results

President

Photo of Kamala Harris
DKamala Harris
48.3%
average of 34 polls · result 48.7%
Photo of Donald Trump
RDonald Trump
47.8%won
average of 34 polls · result 50.4%

Difference: 0.5 points Also: Jill Stein (G) 1.0%, Chase Oliver (L) 0.8%

Photos: Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Jill Stein, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+0.5, corrected R+0.6 · 34 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04

Result: Donald Trump (R) 50.4% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 48.7% · R+1.7. The plain poll average missed by 2.2 points toward the Democrat.

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin
AtlasIntel2024-11-03 to 2024-11-041,840 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.1; Kamala Harris (D) 48.4; Jill Stein (G) 0.6; Chase Oliver (L) 0.2R+0.7
AtlasIntel2024-11-03 to 2024-11-041,840 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.6; Kamala Harris (D) 48.6R+1.0
Research Co.2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03450 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47D+1.0
Survation2024-11-01 to 2024-11-04915 LVKamala Harris (D) 49.24; Donald Trump (R) 46.54; Chase Oliver (L) 0.84; Jill Stein (G) 0.66D+2.7
Patriot Polling2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03903 RVDonald Trump (R) 49.6; Kamala Harris (D) 48.7R+0.9
Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned)2024-11-01 to 2024-11-031,089 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.4; Kamala Harris (D) 46.7R+1.7
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-022,049 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.1; Kamala Harris (D) 47.4; Jill Stein (G) 0.9; Chase Oliver (L) 0.5R+1.7
AtlasIntel2024-11-01 to 2024-11-022,049 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.6; Kamala Harris (D) 47.8R+1.8
InsiderAdvantage2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02800 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.2; Kamala Harris (D) 48.2R+1.0
Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar2024-10-30 to 2024-11-021,000 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.9; Kamala Harris (D) 49.2R+0.7
AtlasIntel2024-10-30 to 2024-10-311,738 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.5; Kamala Harris (D) 47.4; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0.5R+1.1
AtlasIntel2024-10-30 to 2024-10-311,738 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.4; Kamala Harris (D) 47.9R+1.5
SoCal Strategies for On Point Politics | Red Eagle Politics(REP-aligned)2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31850 LVKamala Harris (D) 49.7; Donald Trump (R) 48.2D+1.5
The New York Times/Siena College for The Philadelphia Inquirer2024-10-29 to 2024-11-021,527 RVDonald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+1.0
The New York Times/Siena College for The Philadelphia Inquirer2024-10-29 to 2024-11-021,527 RVDonald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1R+1.0
The New York Times/Siena College for The Philadelphia Inquirer2024-10-29 to 2024-11-021,527 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48Tied
The New York Times/Siena College for The Philadelphia Inquirer2024-10-29 to 2024-11-021,527 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0Tied
OnMessage2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31800 LVDonald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+2.0
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-28 to 2024-10-311,596 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0Tied
Echelon Insights2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30600 LVDonald Trump (R) 51; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0R+5.0
Echelon Insights2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30600 LVDonald Trump (R) 52; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+6.0
Suffolk University for USA Today2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30500 LVKamala Harris (D) 48.6; Donald Trump (R) 48.6; Chase Oliver (L) 0.6; Jill Stein (G) 0.4Tied
Marist College2024-10-27 to 2024-10-301,558 RVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 47D+4.0
Marist College2024-10-27 to 2024-10-301,400 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48D+2.0
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion for Morning Call2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30460 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47D+2.0
The Washington Post2024-10-26 to 2024-10-301,204 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47D+1.0
The Washington Post2024-10-26 to 2024-10-301,204 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47D+1.0
InsiderAdvantage2024-10-26 to 2024-10-27800 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.4; Kamala Harris (D) 47.4R+1.0
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02699 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47D+2.0
Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02798 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46D+2.0
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31982 RVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48D+2.0
YouGov for The Times of London | SAY242024-10-25 to 2024-10-31956 LVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 48D+3.0
Data for Progress2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31908 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0D+2.0
AtlasIntel2024-10-25 to 2024-10-291,299 LVDonald Trump (R) 48.7; Kamala Harris (D) 46.6; Jill Stein (G) 0.9; Chase Oliver (L) 0.6R+2.1
AtlasIntel2024-10-25 to 2024-10-291,299 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.6; Kamala Harris (D) 46.9R+2.7
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-25 to 2024-10-271,116 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0Tied
Monmouth University Polling Institute2024-10-24 to 2024-10-28824 RVDonald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 46R+1.0
Quinnipiac University2024-10-24 to 2024-10-282,186 LVDonald Trump (R) 47; Kamala Harris (D) 46; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 1R+1.0
Quinnipiac University2024-10-24 to 2024-10-282,186 LVDonald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 47R+2.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,310 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1D+2.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,057 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0Tied
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,310 RVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48D+2.0
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research for FOX News2024-10-24 to 2024-10-281,057 LVDonald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49R+1.0
CNN/SSRS2024-10-23 to 2024-10-28819 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1Tied
Morning Consult2024-10-22 to 2024-10-311,538 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48Tied
YouGov for CBS News2024-10-22 to 2024-10-281,273 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49Tied
North Star Opinion Research for Center for American Greatness2024-10-22 to 2024-10-26600 LVKamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1Tied
Emerson College for RealClearPennsylvania2024-10-21 to 2024-10-22860 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.7; Kamala Harris (D) 49R+1.7
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-20 to 2024-10-221,586 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0D+1.0
Susquehanna Polling & Research for La Torre Live2024-10-18 to 2024-10-22500 LVKamala Harris (D) 46; Donald Trump (R) 45.8D+0.2
Quantus Insights for TrendingPolitics(REP-aligned)2024-10-17 to 2024-10-20840 LVDonald Trump (R) 50.3; Kamala Harris (D) 48.2R+2.1
Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned)2024-10-17 to 2024-10-191,084 LVDonald Trump (R) 46.3; Kamala Harris (D) 43.3R+3.0
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov2024-10-16 to 2024-10-23800 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 1D+1.0
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20866 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 0Tied
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20866 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48Tied
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20812 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0D+2.0
Morning Consult for Bloomberg2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20812 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48D+2.0
Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph2024-10-16 to 2024-10-181,256 LVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0Tied
AtlasIntel2024-10-12 to 2024-10-172,048 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.8; Kamala Harris (D) 46.5; Jill Stein (G) 1.9; Chase Oliver (L) 0.5R+3.3
AtlasIntel2024-10-12 to 2024-10-172,048 LVDonald Trump (R) 49.9; Kamala Harris (D) 47.4R+2.5
The Bullfinch Group2024-10-11 to 2024-10-17600 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49Tied
The Bullfinch Group2024-10-11 to 2024-10-17600 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48D+1.0
ActiVote2024-10-10 to 2024-11-02400 LVKamala Harris (D) 50.5; Donald Trump (R) 49.5D+1.0
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2024-10-09 to 2024-10-20794 RVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 2; Chase Oliver (L) 1D+4.0
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2024-10-09 to 2024-10-20583 LVDonald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49R+1.0
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research2024-10-09 to 2024-10-20794 RVKamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 44D+4.0
YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government2024-10-07 to 2024-10-171,062 RVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 47D+3.0
YouGov for Claremont McKenna College Rose Institute of State and Local Government2024-10-07 to 2024-10-171,043 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48D+2.0
Morning Consult2024-10-06 to 2024-10-151,395 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48D+1.0
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-012,373 AKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1D+2.0
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-012,119 RVKamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1D+4.0
Focaldata2024-10-03 to 2024-11-012,373 LVKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1D+2.0
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-253,708 AKamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 47D+3.0
CCES/YouGov2024-10-01 to 2024-10-253,685 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48D+1.0
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15707 RVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 46D+3.0
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15707 LVKamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47D+2.0