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Texas 2026 polls

District 9

RAlex Mealer
48.0%
average of 2 polls
DLeticia Gutierrez
44.5%
average of 2 polls

Difference: 3.5 points

Plain average R+3.5, corrected R+3.5 (±5.6) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-22within the margin of error

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
DCCC2026-10-20 to 2026-10-22490 LVLeticia Gutierrez (D) 47; Alex Mealer (R) 48; Undecided (UND) 5R+1.08.6
University of Houston / Texas Southern University2026-10-03 to 2026-10-07677 LVLeticia Gutierrez (D) 42; Alex Mealer (R) 48; Undecided (UND) 10R+6.07.1

District 15

Photo of Bobby Pulido
DBobby Pulido
51.0%
average of 1 poll
Photo of Monica De La Cruz
RMonica De La Cruz
44.0%
average of 1 poll

Difference: 7.0 points

Photos: Bobby Pulido, Kim-bodia, CC BY 2.0; Monica De La Cruz, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+7.0, corrected D+7.0 · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-16

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Texas Southern University for San Antonio Express-News, El País, Puente News Collaborative2026-10-13 to 2026-10-16—Bobby Pulido (D) 51; Monica De La Cruz (R) 44; Undecided (UND) 5D+7.0—

District 23

Photo of Brandon Herrera
RBrandon Herrera
46.0%
average of 1 poll
DKaty Padilla Stout
46.0%
average of 1 poll

Difference: 0.0 points

Photos: Brandon Herrera, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 4.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average Tied, corrected Tied (±9.4) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-07within the margin of error

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Normington Petts for House Majority PAC(D-aligned)2026-10-05 to 2026-10-07400 LVBrandon Herrera (R) 46; Katy Padilla Stout (D) 46; Undecided (UND) 8Tied9.4

District 28

Photo of Henry Cuellar
DHenry Cuellar
54.0%
average of 2 polls
RTano Tijerina
34.0%
average of 2 polls

Difference: 20.0 points

Photos: Henry Cuellar, Unknown authorUnknown author, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+20.0, corrected D+20.0 (±5.4) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-13

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
DCCC2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13536 LVHenry Cuellar (D) 54; Tano Tijerina (R) 34; (OTH) 12D+20.07.8
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department(D-aligned)2026-10-07 to 2026-10-13563 LVHenry Cuellar (D) 54; Tano Tijerina (R) 34; Undecided (UND) 12D+20.07.6

District 34

Photo of Vicente Gonzalez
DVicente Gonzalez
50.0%
average of 1 poll
REric Flores
43.0%
average of 1 poll

Difference: 7.0 points

Photos: Vicente Gonzalez, Kristie Boyd; U.S. House Office of Photography, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+7.0, corrected D+7.0 (±7.5) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2026-10-19within the margin of error

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Washington Post for Schar School2026-10-14 to 2026-10-19626 LVVicente Gonzalez (D) 50; Eric Flores (R) 43; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 4D+7.07.5

District 35

DJohnny Garcia
48.3%
average of 3 polls
RCarlos De La Cruz
47.3%
average of 3 polls

Difference: 1.0 points

Plain average D+1.0, corrected D+1.4 (±5.2) · 3 pollsters, fieldwork through 2026-10-19within the margin of error

PollsterFieldworkSampleResultMargin± MOE
Washington Post for Schar School2026-10-14 to 2026-10-19606 LVCarlos De La Cruz (R) 48; Johnny Garcia (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 5R+1.07.8
Normington Petts for House Majority PAC(D-aligned)2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14400 LVJohnny Garcia (D) 47; Carlos De La Cruz (R) 45; Undecided (UND) 8D+2.09.4
Emerson College for Poll Vault2026-10-12 to 2026-10-14417 LVJohnny Garcia (D) 51; Carlos De La Cruz (R) 49D+2.09.6