Virginia 2024 polls and results

District 1

RRobert J. Wittman

56.3%won

result (not polled)

DLeslie C. Mehta

43.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 12.8 points

Photos: Robert J. Wittman, Brian Thorpe, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Robert J. Wittman (R) 56.3% ✓, Leslie C. Mehta (D) 43.5% · R+12.8.

District 2

RJen A. Kiggans

46.5%won

average of 2 polls · result 50.7%

DMissy Cotter Smasal

46.0%

average of 2 polls · result 46.9%

Difference: 0.5 points Also: Robert E. Reid (I) 1.0%

Plain average R+0.5, corrected R+0.5 (±5.9) · 2 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-10-20within the margin of error

Result: Jen A. Kiggans (R) 50.7% ✓, Missy Cotter Smasal (D) 46.9%, Robert E. Reid (I) 2.3% · R+3.8. The plain poll average missed by 3.3 points toward the Democrat.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department(DEM-aligned)	2024-10-19 to 2024-10-20	373 LV	Missy Cotter Smasal (D) 47; Jen A. Kiggans (R) 47; Robert E. Reid (I) 1	Tied	9.8
Christopher Newport University Wason Center for Civic Leadership	2024-10-11 to 2024-10-20	800 LV	Jen A. Kiggans (R) 46; Missy Cotter Smasal (D) 45	R+1.0	6.6

District 3

DRobert C. "Bobby" Scott

70.0%won

result (not polled)

RJohn Sitka III

29.8%

result (not polled)

Difference: 40.1 points

Photos: Robert C. "Bobby" Scott, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Robert C. "Bobby" Scott (D) 70.0% ✓, John Sitka III (R) 29.8% · D+40.1.

District 4

DJennifer L. McClellan

67.3%won

result (not polled)

RWilliam J. "Bill" Moher III

32.4%

result (not polled)

Difference: 34.9 points

Photos: Jennifer L. McClellan, U.S. House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Jennifer L. McClellan (D) 67.3% ✓, William J. "Bill" Moher III (R) 32.4% · D+34.9.

District 5

RJohn J. McGuire III

57.3%won

result (not polled)

DGloria Tinsley Witt

42.3%

result (not polled)

Difference: 15.0 points

Photos: John J. McGuire III, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: John J. McGuire III (R) 57.3% ✓, Gloria Tinsley Witt (D) 42.3% · R+15.0.

District 6

RBen L. Cline

63.3%won

result (not polled)

DKen L. Mitchell

34.6%

result (not polled)

Difference: 28.6 points Also: Robert Wells (I) 2.0%

Photos: Ben L. Cline, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Ben L. Cline (R) 63.3% ✓, Ken L. Mitchell (D) 34.6%, Robert Wells (I) 2.0% · R+28.6.

District 7

DEugene S. Vindman

44.0%won

average of 1 poll · result 51.2%

RDerrick M. Anderson

42.0%

average of 1 poll · result 48.5%

Difference: 2.0 points

Photos: Eugene S. Vindman, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work); Derrick M. Anderson, United States Army, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

Plain average D+2.0, corrected D+2.0 (±9.1) · 1 pollster, fieldwork through 2024-10-22within the margin of error

Result: Eugene S. Vindman (D) 51.2% ✓, Derrick M. Anderson (R) 48.5% · D+2.6. The plain poll average missed by 0.6 points toward the Republican.

Pollster	Fieldwork	Sample	Result	Margin	± MOE
Ragnar Research Partners(REP-aligned)	2024-10-20 to 2024-10-22	400 LV	Eugene S. Vindman (D) 44; Derrick M. Anderson (R) 42	D+2.0	9.1

District 8

DDonald S. Beyer Jr.

71.5%won

result (not polled)

RJerry W. Torres

24.7%

result (not polled)

Difference: 46.9 points Also: David R. Kennedy (I) 2.6%, Bentley F. Hensel (I) 0.9%

Photos: Donald S. Beyer Jr., United States House of Representatives, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Donald S. Beyer Jr. (D) 71.5% ✓, Jerry W. Torres (R) 24.7%, David R. Kennedy (I) 2.6% · D+46.9.

District 9

RH. Morgan Griffith

72.5%won

result (not polled)

DKaren G.H. Baker

27.3%

result (not polled)

Difference: 45.2 points

Photos: H. Morgan Griffith, US Government, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: H. Morgan Griffith (R) 72.5% ✓, Karen G.H. Baker (D) 27.3% · R+45.2.

District 10

DSuhas Subramanyam

52.1%won

result (not polled)

RMike W. Clancy

47.5%

result (not polled)

Difference: 4.6 points

Photos: Suhas Subramanyam, House Creative Services, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Suhas Subramanyam (D) 52.1% ✓, Mike W. Clancy (R) 47.5% · D+4.5.

District 11

DGerald E. "Gerry" Connolly

66.7%won

result (not polled)

RMike L. Van Meter

32.9%

result (not polled)

Difference: 33.8 points

Photos: Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly, US Congress official portrait, Public domain (US government work). Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.

No poll ended in the final 21 days before election day.

Result: Gerald E. "Gerry" Connolly (D) 66.7% ✓, Mike L. Van Meter (R) 32.9% · D+33.8.