U.S. Senate
DTimothy Michael Kaine
51.9%won
average of 7 polls · result 54.4%
RHung Cao
42.6%
average of 7 polls · result 45.4%
Difference: 9.3 points
Photos: Timothy Michael Kaine, United States Senate, Public domain; Hung Cao, U.S. Navy, Public domain. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+9.3, corrected D+8.4 · 7 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04
Result: Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 54.4% ✓, Hung Cao (R) 45.4% · D+8.9. The plain poll average missed by 0.4 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | 2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03 | 450 LV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 53; Hung Cao (R) 41 | D+12.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-04 | 2,202 LV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 52.6; Hung Cao (R) 44 | D+8.6 |
| Chism Strategies | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-30 | 520 LV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 46.4; Hung Cao (R) 44.9 | D+1.5 |
| Cygnal | 2024-10-27 to 2024-10-29 | 600 LV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 51.6; Hung Cao (R) 41.7 | D+9.9 |
| Roanoke College Institute for Policy and Opinion Research | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 851 LV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 51; Hung Cao (R) 40 | D+11.0 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-23 | 1,004 LV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 54; Hung Cao (R) 41 | D+13.0 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-23 | 1,004 RV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 54; Hung Cao (R) 40 | D+14.0 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-28 | 400 LV | Timothy Michael Kaine (D) 54.7; Hung Cao (R) 45.3 | D+9.4 |