President


Difference: 1.2 points Also: Jill Stein (G) 0.9%, Chase Oliver (L) 0.3%, Cornel West (I) 0.1%, Robert F. Kennedy (I) 0.7%, Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) 0.1%, Randall A. Terry (CON) 0.1%
Photos: Kamala Harris, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Lawrence Jackson (fl. 1990–), Public domain; Donald Trump, .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#f0f0ff;box-sizing:border-box;font-size:95%;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{vertical-align:top}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{background-color:var(--background-color-neutral,#e0e0ee);font-weight:bold;text-align:start;color:inherit}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-expanded .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_action_arrow.png");background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{padding-left:20px!important;background-repeat:no-repeat}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="ltr"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/41/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_right_arrow.png");background-position:left center}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed.mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table[dir="rtl"] .mw-collapsible-toggle-collapsed .mw-collapsible-arrowtoggle{background-image:url("https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/1e/MediaWiki_Vector_skin_left_arrow.png");background-position:right center}@media(max-width:719px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{box-sizing:border-box;display:block;width:100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody{border-right:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-bottom:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa)}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr{border-top:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1 100%}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border-left:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px;flex:1 1}}@media(min-width:720px){.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:0;padding:5px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>th,.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>td{border:1px solid var(--border-color-base,#aaa);padding:2px}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.halfwidth{max-width:10em}.mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table>tbody>tr>.fullwidth{max-width:20em}}@media screen{html.skin-theme-clientpref-night .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}}@media screen and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){html.skin-theme-clientpref-os .mw-parser-output .commons-creator-table{background-color:#0c0b19}} Daniel Torok (1982–), Public domain; Jill Stein, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Chase Oliver, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0; Cornel West, DarrellNance, CC BY-SA 4.0; Robert F. Kennedy, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Public domain; Claudia De La Cruz, Party for Socialism and Liberation, CC BY 3.0; Randall A. Terry, Gage Skidmore, CC BY-SA 3.0. Candidates without a freely licensed photo are shown by initials.
Plain average D+1.2, corrected D+0.1 (±1.4) · 27 pollsters, fieldwork through 2024-11-04within the margin of error
Result: Donald Trump (R) 49.6% ✓, Kamala Harris (D) 48.7%, Robert F. Kennedy (NPA) 0.5% · R+0.9. The plain poll average missed by 2.1 points toward the Democrat.
| Pollster | Fieldwork | Sample | Result | Margin | ± MOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 869 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.1; Kamala Harris (D) 47.9; Jill Stein (G) 0.6; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+1.2 | 6.5 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-03 to 2024-11-04 | 869 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.5; Kamala Harris (D) 48.6 | R+0.9 | 6.6 |
| Research Co. | 2024-11-02 to 2024-11-03 | 450 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+3.0 | 9.0 |
| Patriot Polling | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 835 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48.7 | D+0.3 | 6.7 |
| Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned) | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-03 | 1,086 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48.2; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+1.2 | 5.8 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 728 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.3; Kamala Harris (D) 48; Jill Stein (G) 0.7; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+1.3 | 7.2 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 728 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.6; Kamala Harris (D) 48.6 | R+1.0 | 7.2 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-11-01 to 2024-11-02 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.9; Kamala Harris (D) 47.6 | R+1.3 | 6.8 |
| Emerson College for The Hill | Nexstar | 2024-10-30 to 2024-11-02 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.8; Kamala Harris (D) 49.5 | R+0.3 | 6.9 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 673 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.5; Kamala Harris (D) 48.2; Jill Stein (G) 0.8; Chase Oliver (L) 0.1 | R+0.3 | 7.4 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-30 to 2024-10-31 | 673 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48.8 | D+0.2 | 7.5 |
| OnMessage | 2024-10-29 to 2024-10-31 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+1.0 | 6.8 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-31 | 932 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0 | D+1.0 | 6.3 |
| TIPP Insights for Center for American Greatness | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-30 | 1,038 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+2.0 | 5.9 |
| TIPP Insights for Center for American Greatness | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-30 | 831 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48 | Tied | 6.7 |
| TIPP Insights for Center for American Greatness | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-30 | 1,038 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 46; Donald Trump (R) 44; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 3; Cornel West (I) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | D+2.0 | 5.8 |
| TIPP Insights for Center for American Greatness | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-30 | 831 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 47; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 3; Cornel West (I) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | D+1.0 | 6.6 |
| SoCal Strategies for On Point Politics | Red Eagle Politics(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-29 | 600 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49 | Tied | 7.9 |
| Quantus Insights for TrendingPolitics(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-28 to 2024-10-29 | 637 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.1; Kamala Harris (D) 48.9 | R+0.2 | 7.7 |
| Echelon Insights | 2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30 | 600 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Jill Stein (G) 1; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 0; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Cornel West (I) 0 | Tied | 7.8 |
| Echelon Insights | 2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30 | 600 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 49 | Tied | 7.9 |
| Marist College | 2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30 | 1,444 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+2.0 | 5.1 |
| Marist College | 2024-10-27 to 2024-10-30 | 1,330 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+2.0 | 5.3 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2024-10-26 to 2024-10-27 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48 | R+1.0 | 6.8 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,305 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+2.0 | 5.3 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,305 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 2; Cornel West (I) 0; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | D+3.0 | 5.2 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,305 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+2.0 | 5.3 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 1,305 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 0; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | D+3.0 | 5.2 |
| Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 786 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+1.0 | 6.9 |
| Florida Atlantic University PolCom Lab/Mainstreet Research | 2024-10-25 to 2024-11-02 | 798 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48 | D+1.0 | 6.8 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 889 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 3; Cornel West (I) 0 | D+3.0 | 6.3 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 867 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 45; Jill Stein (G) 2; Cornel West (I) 0 | D+4.0 | 6.5 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 889 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+4.0 | 6.5 |
| YouGov for The Times of London | SAY24 | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-31 | 867 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+4.0 | 6.6 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,470 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.7; Kamala Harris (D) 48.1; Jill Stein (G) 0.6; Chase Oliver (L) 0.5 | R+0.6 | 5.0 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-29 | 1,470 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49; Kamala Harris (D) 48.5 | R+0.5 | 5.0 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-25 to 2024-10-27 | 746 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0 | D+2.0 | 7.0 |
| CNN/SSRS | 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-28 | 736 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 45; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 0; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | D+6.0 | 7.1 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-22 to 2024-10-31 | 540 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48.2; Kamala Harris (D) 47.6 | R+0.6 | 8.3 |
| Emerson College for RealClearWorld | 2024-10-21 to 2024-10-22 | 800 LV | Donald Trump (R) 49.9; Kamala Harris (D) 49.2 | R+0.7 | 6.9 |
| Suffolk University for USA Today | 2024-10-20 to 2024-10-23 | 500 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 46.6; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 1.2; Jill Stein (G) 0.8; Chase Oliver (L) 0.4; Cornel West (I) 0.4; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0.2; Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) 0.2 | R+1.4 | 8.5 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-20 to 2024-10-22 | 557 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0 | D+2.0 | 8.1 |
| OnMessage for Senate Opportunity Fund(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-22 | 600 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47; Jill Stein (G) 1; Chase Oliver (L) 0 | R+1.0 | 7.8 |
| Trafalgar Group(REP-aligned) | 2024-10-18 to 2024-10-20 | 1,083 LV | Donald Trump (R) 46.8; Kamala Harris (D) 46.6 | R+0.2 | 5.8 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-21 | 1,108 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48; Jill Stein (G) 0; Chase Oliver (L) 0; Cornel West (I) 0; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0; Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) 0 | Tied | 5.8 |
| Quinnipiac University | 2024-10-17 to 2024-10-21 | 1,108 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48 | Tied | 5.8 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-24 | 753 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 49 | D+1.0 | 7.1 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-24 | 753 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 46; Donald Trump (R) 44; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 5; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 1; Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) 0; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0 | D+2.0 | 6.8 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-24 | 834 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 49 | D+2.0 | 6.8 |
| Marquette University Law School | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-24 | 834 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 46; Donald Trump (R) 43; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 5; Chase Oliver (L) 2; Jill Stein (G) 1; Cornel West (I) 1; Randall A. Terry (CON) 0; Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) 0 | D+3.0 | 6.4 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 635 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 3; Jill Stein (G) 1 | Tied | 7.5 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 635 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48 | Tied | 7.6 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 624 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 3; Jill Stein (G) 1 | Tied | 7.6 |
| Morning Consult for Bloomberg | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-20 | 624 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 48 | Tied | 7.7 |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies for The Telegraph | 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-18 | 622 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 47; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0 | D+1.0 | 7.6 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 932 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48.9; Donald Trump (R) 48.2; Chase Oliver (L) 0.8; Robert F. Kennedy (I) 0.7; Jill Stein (G) 0.2 | D+0.7 | 6.3 |
| AtlasIntel | 2024-10-12 to 2024-10-17 | 932 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 48.4 | D+0.6 | 6.3 |
| The Bullfinch Group | 2024-10-11 to 2024-10-18 | 600 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+3.0 | 7.9 |
| The Bullfinch Group | 2024-10-11 to 2024-10-18 | 600 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 48; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+2.0 | 7.8 |
| ActiVote | 2024-10-10 to 2024-11-01 | 400 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50.9; Donald Trump (R) 49.1 | D+1.8 | 9.8 |
| RMG Research for Napolitan News Service | 2024-10-10 to 2024-10-16 | 787 LV | Donald Trump (R) 50; Kamala Harris (D) 49 | R+1.0 | 7.0 |
| Morning Consult | 2024-10-06 to 2024-10-15 | 527 LV | Donald Trump (R) 48; Kamala Harris (D) 47 | R+1.0 | 8.3 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,799 A | Kamala Harris (D) 49; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | D+3.0 | 4.5 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,613 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 46; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 1 | D+5.0 | 4.8 |
| Focaldata | 2024-10-03 to 2024-11-01 | 1,799 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 47; Chase Oliver (L) 1; Jill Stein (G) 0 | D+3.0 | 4.5 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 1,552 A | Kamala Harris (D) 51; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+5.0 | 4.9 |
| CCES/YouGov | 2024-10-01 to 2024-10-25 | 1,542 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+3.0 | 4.9 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 695 RV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 46 | D+4.0 | 7.3 |
| The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government | 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-15 | 695 LV | Kamala Harris (D) 50; Donald Trump (R) 47 | D+3.0 | 7.3 |