2024 President · Georgia
Siena/NYT · fieldwork ended 2024-11-01 (4 days before the election) · 1,004 respondents · Live Phone
The poll said
Democrat 46% · Republican 46%
even
The certified result
Democrat 48.52% · Republican 50.72%
R+2.2
The arithmetic
- Poll margin = 46 − 46 = 0.00
- Actual margin = 48.525 − 50.717 = -2.192
- Signed miss = 0.00 − (-2.192) = 2.192
- Absolute miss = |2.192| = 2.192
The poll overstated the Democrat by 2.2 points and showed a tie.
Where these numbers come from
Poll and result: 538 president_polls_historical.csv (archived 2025-03-06). Poll ID 89271, race ID 8781 (538 database).
This poll asked 2 versions of the question for this race; one is scored (largest sample) so the poll counts once.
population: rv