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Siena/NYT

Polls scored
111
108 races, 2016–2024
Lean
1.7 pts toward Democrats
95% range 0.9 to 2.6
Average miss
4.1 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
75%

Every scored poll

Fieldwork endedRacePollResultMissWorkings
2024-11-022024 President · MichiganR+3.0R+1.4-1.6autopsy
2024-11-022024 President · PennsylvaniaR+1.0R+1.7+0.7autopsy
2024-11-022024 President · North CarolinaD+4.0R+3.2+7.2autopsy
2024-11-022024 President · ArizonaR+4.0R+5.5+1.5autopsy
2024-11-022024 President · WisconsinD+2.0R+0.9+2.9autopsy
2024-11-022024 President · NevadaD+2.0R+3.1+5.1autopsy
2024-11-022024 Senate · MichiganevenD+0.3-0.3autopsy
2024-11-022024 Senate · PennsylvaniaD+5.0R+0.2+5.2autopsy
2024-11-022024 Senate · ArizonaD+8.0D+2.4+5.6autopsy
2024-11-022024 Senate · WisconsinD+4.0D+0.8+3.2autopsy
2024-11-022024 Senate · NevadaD+12.0D+1.6+10.4autopsy
2024-11-022024 Governor · North CarolinaD+20.0D+14.8+5.2autopsy
2024-11-012024 President · GeorgiaevenR+2.2+2.2autopsy
2024-10-262024 President · TexasR+11.0R+13.7+2.7autopsy
2024-10-262024 President · NebraskaR+15.0R+20.5+5.5autopsy
2024-10-262024 President · Nebraska CD-2D+12.0D+4.6+7.4autopsy
2024-10-262024 Senate · TexasR+3.0R+8.5+5.5autopsy
2024-10-262024 Senate · NebraskaR+19.0R+25.2+6.2autopsy
2024-10-232024 President · USevenR+1.5+1.5autopsy
2022-10-262022 Senate · GAD+3.0D+1.0+2.0autopsy
2022-10-262022 Governor · GAR+5.0R+7.5+2.5autopsy
2022-10-252022 Senate · AZD+6.0D+4.9+1.1autopsy
2022-10-252022 Senate · PAD+5.0D+4.9+0.1autopsy
2022-10-252022 Governor · AZevenD+0.7-0.7autopsy
2022-10-252022 Governor · PAD+13.0D+14.8-1.8autopsy
2022-10-222022 House · NM-2D+1.0D+0.7+0.3autopsy
2022-10-212022 Senate · NVevenD+0.8-0.8autopsy
2022-10-212022 Governor · NVR+4.0R+1.5-2.5autopsy
2022-10-212022 House · KS-3D+14.0D+12.2+1.8autopsy
2022-10-202022 House · NV-1evenD+5.6-5.6autopsy
2022-10-192022 House · PA-8D+6.0D+2.5+3.6autopsy
2020-10-292020 President · FLD+3.0R+3.4+6.4autopsy
2020-10-282020 President · AZD+6.0D+0.3+5.7autopsy
2020-10-282020 President · PAD+6.0D+1.2+4.8autopsy
2020-10-282020 President · WID+11.0D+0.6+10.4autopsy
2020-10-282020 Senate · AZD+7.0D+2.3+4.7autopsy
2020-10-252020 President · MID+8.0D+2.8+5.2autopsy
2020-10-252020 President · NCD+3.0R+1.3+4.3autopsy
2020-10-252020 President · NVD+6.0D+2.4+3.6autopsy
2020-10-252020 Senate · MID+8.0D+1.7+6.3autopsy
2020-10-252020 Senate · NCD+3.0R+1.7+4.7autopsy
2020-10-252020 Governor · NCD+9.0D+4.5+4.5autopsy
2020-10-222020 President · TXR+4.0R+5.6+1.6autopsy
2020-10-222020 Senate · TXR+10.0R+9.6-0.4autopsy
2020-10-192020 President · IAD+3.0R+8.2+11.2autopsy
2020-10-192020 President · KSR+7.0R+14.7+7.7autopsy
2020-10-192020 President · MTR+6.0R+16.4+10.4autopsy
2020-10-192020 Senate · IAR+1.0R+6.6+5.6autopsy
2020-10-192020 Senate · KSR+4.0R+11.4+7.4autopsy
2020-10-192020 Senate · MTR+3.0R+10.0+7.0autopsy
2020-10-192020 Governor · MTR+4.0R+12.9+8.9autopsy
2020-10-192020 House · MT-1R+4.0R+12.8+8.8autopsy
2020-10-172020 President · USD+9.0D+4.4+4.6autopsy
2020-10-162020 President · GAevenD+0.2-0.2autopsy
2020-10-162020 Senate · GAevenR+1.8+1.8autopsy
2018-11-032018 House · KY-6R+0.4R+3.2+2.8autopsy
2018-11-032018 House · NY-19D+1.7D+8.1-6.4autopsy
2018-11-032018 House · NY-22R+0.9D+2.3-3.3autopsy
2018-11-022018 House · IA-4R+4.8R+3.3-1.4autopsy
2018-11-022018 House · IL-14D+5.2D+5.0+0.2autopsy
2018-11-022018 House · MI-8D+6.6D+3.8+2.8autopsy
2018-11-012018 House · CA-48D+1.7D+7.1-5.4autopsy
2018-11-012018 House · GA-6D+2.1D+1.0+1.1autopsy
2018-11-012018 House · TX-32D+4.0D+6.5-2.5autopsy
2018-11-012018 House · VA-7R+1.8D+1.9-3.7autopsy
2018-11-012018 House · WA-8D+2.8D+4.8-2.0autopsy
2018-10-302018 House · IA-1D+6.5D+5.1+1.5autopsy
2018-10-302018 House · NJ-7D+7.9D+5.0+2.9autopsy
2018-10-292018 House · CA-45D+1.3D+4.1-2.8autopsy
2018-10-292018 House · KS-2D+4.5R+0.8+5.3autopsy
2018-10-282018 House · PA-1R+1.3R+2.5+1.2autopsy
2018-10-272018 House · CA-25R+4.4D+8.7-13.2autopsy
2018-10-262018 House · IA-3D+2.2D+2.2-0.0autopsy
2018-10-262018 House · NY-27R+4.4D+4.8-9.2autopsy
2018-10-252018 Senate · FLD+3.5R+0.1+3.7autopsy
2018-10-252018 Governor · FLD+4.4R+0.4+4.8autopsy
2018-10-252018 House · NY-11R+3.3D+8.5-11.8autopsy
2018-10-252018 House · PA-10R+1.6R+2.6+1.1autopsy
2018-10-252018 House · UT-4D+0.3D+0.3+0.1autopsy
2018-10-232018 House · CA-10D+2.4D+4.5-2.1autopsy
2018-10-232018 House · IL-6D+1.2D+7.2-5.9autopsy
2018-10-232018 House · IL-13R+5.1R+0.8-4.4autopsy
2018-10-232018 House · NJ-3R+0.6D+1.3-1.9autopsy
2018-10-222018 House · OH-1R+8.7R+4.4-4.3autopsy
2018-10-222018 House · TX-7R+0.9D+5.1-5.9autopsy
2018-10-212018 House · CA-49D+14.7D+12.8+1.9autopsy
2018-10-212018 House · FL-26D+0.9D+1.8-0.9autopsy
2018-10-212018 House · NM-2R+0.1D+1.9-1.9autopsy
2018-10-202018 House · CA-39D+1.0D+3.1-2.1autopsy
2018-10-202018 House · IL-12R+8.5R+6.2-2.3autopsy
2018-10-202018 House · VA-2R+2.8D+2.2-5.0autopsy
2018-10-192018 House · VA-5D+1.0R+6.5+7.6autopsy
2018-10-182018 House · FL-15R+0.6R+6.0+5.4autopsy
2018-10-182018 House · PA-8D+12.6D+9.3+3.3autopsy
2018-10-172018 Senate · AZR+1.8D+2.3-4.1autopsy
2018-10-172018 House · FL-27D+7.2D+6.0+1.2autopsy
2018-10-172018 House · ME-2D+0.1D+1.2-1.1autopsy
2018-10-162018 House · KS-3D+9.0D+9.7-0.6autopsy
2018-10-162018 House · WA-3R+7.0R+5.3-1.6autopsy
2018-10-162018 House · WV-3R+4.6R+12.7+8.1autopsy
2017-10-312017 Governor · VAD+3.0D+8.9-5.9autopsy
2016-11-052016 Governor · NCD+1.0D+0.2+0.8autopsy
2016-11-052016 Senate · NCR+1.0R+5.7+4.7autopsy
2016-11-052016 President · NCevenR+3.7+3.7autopsy
2016-10-262016 Senate · FLR+9.0R+7.7-1.3autopsy
2016-10-262016 President · FLR+4.0R+1.2-2.8autopsy
2016-10-242016 Senate · PAD+3.0R+1.4+4.4autopsy
2016-10-242016 President · PAD+7.0R+0.7+7.7autopsy
2016-10-222016 Governor · NCD+6.0D+0.2+5.8autopsy
2016-10-222016 Senate · NCD+1.0R+5.7+6.7autopsy
2016-10-222016 President · NCD+7.0R+3.7+10.7autopsy