Lake Research Partners/The Tarrance Group
Polls scored
19
7 races, 2000–2012
Lean
3.6 pts toward Republicans
95% range -5.1 to -1.9
Average miss
3.8 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
71%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-04 | 2012 President · US | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-31 | 2012 President · US | even | D+3.9 | -3.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-24 | 2012 President · US | D+1.0 | D+3.9 | -2.9 | autopsy |
| 2012-10-16 | 2012 President · US | R+2.0 | D+3.9 | -5.9 | autopsy |
| 2008-11-02 | 2008 President · US | D+5.0 | D+7.4 | -2.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-29 | 2008 President · US | D+4.0 | D+7.4 | -3.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-23 | 2008 President · US | D+3.0 | D+7.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-16 | 2008 President · US | D+4.0 | D+7.4 | -3.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-31 | 2004 President · US | R+6.0 | R+2.4 | -3.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-27 | 2004 President · US | R+5.0 | R+2.4 | -2.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-20 | 2004 President · US | R+4.0 | R+2.4 | -1.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-13 | 2004 President · US | R+3.0 | R+2.4 | -0.6 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-05 | 2000 President · US | R+5.0 | D+0.5 | -5.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-01 | 2000 President · US | R+9.0 | D+0.5 | -9.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-26 | 2000 President · US | R+5.0 | D+0.5 | -5.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-24 | 2000 President · MI | D+1.0 | D+5.1 | -4.1 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-24 | 2000 President · PA | D+5.0 | D+4.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-24 | 2000 President · WI | D+1.0 | D+0.2 | +0.8 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-20 | 2000 President · US | R+6.0 | D+0.5 | -6.5 | autopsy |