Skip to content

Pew Research Center

Polls scored
12
5 races, 2000–2016
Lean
0.2 pts toward Democrats
95% range -2.1 to 3.3
Average miss
3.2 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
67%

Every scored poll

Fieldwork endedRacePollResultMissWorkings
2016-10-222016 President · USD+6.0D+2.2+3.8autopsy
2012-11-022012 President · USD+3.0D+3.9-0.9autopsy
2012-10-262012 President · USevenD+3.9-3.9autopsy
2008-10-312008 President · USD+6.0D+7.4-1.4autopsy
2008-10-252008 President · USD+15.0D+7.4+7.6autopsy
2008-10-182008 President · USD+14.0D+7.4+6.6autopsy
2004-10-292004 President · USR+3.0R+2.4-0.6autopsy
2004-10-172004 President · USevenR+2.4+2.4autopsy
2000-11-042000 President · USR+2.0D+0.5-2.5autopsy
2000-11-032000 President · USR+3.0D+0.5-3.5autopsy
2000-10-272000 President · USR+4.0D+0.5-4.5autopsy
2000-10-202000 President · USevenD+0.5-0.5autopsy