Opinion Dynamics
Polls scored
21
14 races, 2000–2008
Lean
1.1 pts toward Republicans
95% range -3.1 to 1.1
Average miss
3.6 pts
on the D–R margin
Winner called
70%
Every scored poll
| Fieldwork ended | Race | Poll | Result | Miss | Workings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-11-01 | 2008 President · US | D+7.0 | D+7.4 | -0.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-28 | 2008 President · US | D+3.0 | D+7.4 | -4.4 | autopsy |
| 2008-10-20 | 2008 President · US | D+9.0 | D+7.4 | +1.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · US | D+2.0 | R+2.4 | +4.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · FL | D+5.0 | R+5.0 | +10.0 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · IA | R+4.0 | R+0.7 | -3.3 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · OH | R+3.0 | R+2.1 | -0.9 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 President · WI | R+3.0 | D+0.4 | -3.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 Senate · FL | D+6.0 | R+1.1 | +7.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 Senate · IA | R+47.0 | R+42.3 | -4.7 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 Senate · OH | R+30.0 | R+27.7 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-30 | 2004 Senate · WI | D+14.0 | D+11.2 | +2.8 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-28 | 2004 President · US | R+2.0 | R+2.4 | +0.4 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-17 | 2004 President · US | R+7.0 | R+2.4 | -4.6 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-17 | 2004 President · OH | R+2.0 | R+2.1 | +0.1 | autopsy |
| 2004-10-17 | 2004 Senate · OH | R+30.0 | R+27.7 | -2.3 | autopsy |
| 2000-11-01 | 2000 President · US | even | D+0.5 | -0.5 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-25 | 2000 President · IL | R+3.0 | D+12.0 | -15.0 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-25 | 2000 President · MI | D+3.0 | D+5.1 | -2.1 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-25 | 2000 President · PA | D+3.0 | D+4.2 | -1.2 | autopsy |
| 2000-10-18 | 2000 President · US | R+3.0 | D+0.5 | -3.5 | autopsy |